默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

ThSV Eisenach v TBV Lemgo

开赛时间: 2026-05-22 17:00 UTC

最终结果: ThSV Eisenach 34–38 TBV Lemgo

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

ThSV Eisenach (主队)

预测 29.81%3.35公平赔率
EV -3.10%
优势 -0.954%
Kelly -1.38%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布
27.85%29.70%29.78%30.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.893.123.203.2534.60%32.10%31.25%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

TBV Lemgo (客队)

预测 59.73%1.67公平赔率
EV -7.42%
优势 -4.79%
Kelly -13.49%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.55

博彩公司预测分布
58.75%59.84%59.78%61.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.451.521.521.5568.97%65.96%65.79%64.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 10.45%9.57公平赔率
EV -0.687%
优势 -0.072%
Kelly -0.081%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 9.50

博彩公司预测分布
9.71%10.46%10.44%12.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.008.428.509.5014.29%11.88%11.76%10.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:ThSV Eisenach (主队):29.81%;TBV Lemgo (客队):59.73%;平局:10.45%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.57。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为9.50,期望值为-0.687%,未产生正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.58%EV -8.61%E -5.63%K -16.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -11.14%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 16:40
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -8.61%E -5.63%K -16.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -11.14%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-21 08:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -8.61%E -5.63%K -16.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -11.14%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-21 08:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -8.61%E -5.63%K -16.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -11.14%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-21 08:49
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -8.61%E -5.63%K -16.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -11.14%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-21 08:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -8.61%E -5.63%K -16.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -11.14%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-21 08:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -8.61%E -5.63%K -16.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -11.14%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-21 08:49
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -8.61%E -5.63%K -16.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -11.14%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-21 08:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -8.61%E -5.63%K -16.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -11.14%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-21 08:49
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -8.61%E -5.63%K -16.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -11.14%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-21 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -10.40%E -6.94%K -20.81%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -0.687%E -0.072%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-21 05:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.42%EV -10.40%E -6.94%K -20.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -26.82%E -3.83%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-21 00:30
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.42%EV -10.40%E -6.94%K -20.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -26.82%E -3.83%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-21 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.80%EV -7.42%E -4.79%K -13.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -5.91%E -0.657%K -0.739%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 05:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.96%EV -8.01%E -5.20%K -14.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -5.91%E -0.657%K -0.739%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 07:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.34%EV -9.21%E -6.06%K -17.71%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.08%EV -4.87%E -0.535%K -0.601%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 16:50
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.23%EV -10.40%E -6.94%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.63%EV -11.14%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-21 07:59
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.70%EV -9.06%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.36%EV -13.39%E -9.23%K -29.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.94%EV -16.37%E -2.05%K -2.34%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-21 07:50
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.24%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -9.21%E -6.06%K -17.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -5.91%E -0.657%K -0.739%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-21 07:59
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.24%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -9.21%E -6.06%K -17.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -5.91%E -0.657%K -0.739%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-21 07:58
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.40%E -6.94%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.37%E -2.05%K -2.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-22 15:40
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.40%E -6.94%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.37%E -2.05%K -2.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-22 15:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.40%E -6.94%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.37%E -2.05%K -2.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-22 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.22%EV -13.54%E -4.67%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 58.82%EV -11.00%E -7.38%K -22.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -16.37%E -2.05%K -2.34%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-22 10:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 30.69%EV -13.83%E -4.79%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.75%EV -9.81%E -6.49%K -19.23%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.56%EV -12.19%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-22 16:46
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 30.50%1.47I 68.03%NM 58.93%8.20I 12.20%NM 10.56%15.4%2026-05-21 08:00

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%6.4%2026-05-21 14:00