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ThSV Eisenach v Rhein-Neckar Löwen

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

ThSV Eisenach (Local)

Prediction 32.97%3.03fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.94%32.97%32.86%34.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.732.702.9038.46%36.62%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Visit)

Prediction 56.37%1.77fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -5.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.66%56.46%56.44%57.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.641.621.7063.69%60.98%61.73%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 10.66%9.38fair odd
EV +1.26%
Edge +0.133%
Kelly +0.149%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.68%10.57%10.70%11.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.448.509.5013.33%11.85%11.76%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: ThSV Eisenach (Local): 32.97%; Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Visit): 56.37%; Draw: 10.66%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.38. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.26%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -9.34%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.53%EV -7.55%E -4.60%K -11.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV +1.26%E +0.133%K +0.149%G +0.002%7.9%2026-03-13 17:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.84%EV -7.69%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.48%EV -9.80%E -6.13%K -16.34%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +1.26%E +0.133%K +0.149%G +0.002%8.7%2026-03-13 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 33.86%EV -10.66%E -3.93%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.95%EV -7.55%E -4.60%K -11.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -4.07%E -0.452%K -0.508%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 17:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.69%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.44%EV -8.11%E -4.98%K -12.87%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.70%EV -8.33%E -0.969%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 17:25
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.14%EV -9.34%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.26%EV -8.67%E -5.35%K -13.99%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.60%EV -8.33%E -0.969%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-13 17:19
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.14%EV -9.34%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.26%EV -8.67%E -5.35%K -13.99%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.60%EV -8.33%E -0.969%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-13 17:19
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -10.99%E -4.07%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.66%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -9.40%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 07:54
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -10.99%E -4.07%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.66%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -9.40%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 07:54
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -10.99%E -4.07%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.66%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -9.40%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 07:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -10.99%E -4.07%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.66%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -9.40%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 07:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -10.99%E -4.07%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.66%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -9.40%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 07:54
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -10.99%E -4.07%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.66%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -9.40%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 07:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -10.99%E -4.07%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.66%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -9.40%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 07:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -10.99%E -4.07%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.66%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -9.40%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 07:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -10.99%E -4.07%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.66%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -9.40%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 07:54
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.94%EV -4.40%E -1.52%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.17%EV -8.67%E -5.35%K -13.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -9.40%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 17:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.70%EV -7.69%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -8.67%E -5.35%K -13.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -9.40%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 17:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.88%EV -14.29%E -5.49%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.75%EV -10.93%E -6.92%K -18.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.36%EV -9.40%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-13 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 33.22%EV -12.31%E -4.63%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.93%EV -10.93%E -6.92%K -18.84%G +0.000%8.15I 12.27%NM 10.84%EV -13.13%E -1.61%K -1.84%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-13 17:50
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.69%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.67%E -5.35%K -13.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -14.73%E -1.84%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 17:20
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -9.34%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.59%EV -11.49%E -7.32%K -20.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -14.73%E -1.84%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-13 15:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -9.34%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.59%EV -11.49%E -7.32%K -20.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -14.73%E -1.84%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-13 15:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -9.34%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.59%EV -11.49%E -7.32%K -20.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -14.73%E -1.84%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-13 15:44
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.93%EV -10.99%E -4.07%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.22%EV -9.24%E -5.74%K -15.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -20.06%E -2.67%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-12 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.93%EV -10.99%E -4.07%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.22%EV -9.24%E -5.74%K -15.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -20.06%E -2.67%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-12 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%1.56I 64.10%NM 55.56%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.11%15.4%2026-03-13 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 18.19%1.72I 58.14%NM 31.73%1.09I 91.74%NM 50.07%83.2%2026-03-13 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 18.19%1.72I 58.14%NM 31.73%1.09I 91.74%NM 50.07%83.2%2026-03-13 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 18.19%1.72I 58.14%NM 31.73%1.09I 91.74%NM 50.07%83.2%2026-03-13 17:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%5.6%2026-03-13 17:45