默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

ThSV Eisenach v HSV Hamburg

开赛时间: 2026-06-07 13:00 UTC

最终结果: ThSV Eisenach 33–40 HSV Hamburg

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

ThSV Eisenach (主队)

预测 55.34%1.81公平赔率
EV +10.69%
优势 +5.34%
Kelly +10.69%
增长率 +1.14%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
47.54%54.56%55.37%57.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.651.652.0065.36%60.68%60.61%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

HSV Hamburg (客队)

预测 33.02%3.03公平赔率
EV -0.932%
优势 -0.311%
Kelly -0.466%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
29.50%34.05%33.04%41.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.272.732.703.0044.05%36.62%37.04%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 11.63%8.60公平赔率
EV +5.86%
优势 +0.644%
Kelly +0.724%
增长率 +0.042%

假设最高赔率为 9.10

博彩公司预测分布
10.08%11.39%11.58%12.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.008.048.009.1014.29%12.44%12.50%10.99%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:ThSV Eisenach (主队):55.34%;HSV Hamburg (客队):33.02%;平局:11.63%。 对于“ThSV Eisenach (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.81。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.00,对应+10.69%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV +10.69%E +5.34%K +10.69%G +1.14%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.89%EV -25.04%E -11.03%K -19.72%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV +4.70%E +0.522%K +0.587%G +0.028%5.2%2026-06-07 11:29
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.10%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -10.84%E -4.01%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -1.12%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 08:29
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.10%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -10.84%E -4.01%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -1.12%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 08:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.10%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -10.84%E -4.01%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -1.12%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 08:29
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.10%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -10.84%E -4.01%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -1.12%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 08:29
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.10%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -10.84%E -4.01%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -1.12%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 08:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.10%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -10.84%E -4.01%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -1.12%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 08:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.10%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -10.84%E -4.01%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -1.12%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 08:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.10%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -10.84%E -4.01%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -1.12%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 08:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.10%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -10.84%E -4.01%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -1.12%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 08:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.92%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.00%EV -13.48%E -5.15%K -8.32%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.08%EV +5.86%E +0.644%K +0.724%G +0.042%9.0%2026-06-07 12:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.87%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -5.89%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -6.93%E -0.867%K -0.990%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-07 11:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -7.54%E -2.69%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -6.93%E -0.867%K -0.990%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-07 11:49
NordicBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.35%EV -9.24%E -5.63%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.19%E -3.34%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.64%EV -9.26%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-07 11:49
Betsson🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.35%EV -9.24%E -5.63%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.19%E -3.34%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.64%EV -9.26%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-07 11:49
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.72%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -7.54%E -2.69%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -12.75%E -1.70%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-07 11:48
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55%EV -10.90%E -6.77%K -17.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -9.19%E -3.34%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -12.75%E -1.70%K -1.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-07 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55%EV -10.90%E -6.77%K -17.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -9.19%E -3.34%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -12.75%E -1.70%K -1.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-07 11:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55%EV -10.90%E -6.77%K -17.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -9.19%E -3.34%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -12.75%E -1.70%K -1.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-07 11:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.39%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -2.58%E -0.876%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -6.93%E -0.867%K -0.990%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-07 11:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.19%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.95%EV -11.50%E -4.29%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 11.85%EV -13.33%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-07 12:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.08%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -14.14%E -5.44%K -8.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.02%EV -6.93%E -0.867%K -0.990%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-07 08:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.81%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.09%EV -12.49%E -4.71%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.10%EV -15.66%E -2.16%K -2.51%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-07 11:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.85%EV -15.32%E -10.02%K -28.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -0.932%E -0.311%K -0.466%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -18.57%E -2.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-07 11:29
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.85%EV -15.32%E -10.02%K -28.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -0.932%E -0.311%K -0.466%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -18.57%E -2.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-07 11:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 54.87%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.09%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.04%15.3%2026-06-07 11:50

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%5.7%2026-06-07 11:59