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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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ThSV Eisenach v HC Erlangen

开赛时间： 2026-02-26 18:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

21 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

ThSV Eisenach (主队)

预测 54.67%1.83公平赔率
EV -6.52%
优势 -3.81%
Kelly -9.18%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布
53.76%54.75%54.74%56.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.591.671.681.7162.89%59.81%59.52%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

HC Erlangen (客队)

预测 33.57%2.98公平赔率
EV -2.64%
优势 -0.911%
Kelly -1.39%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.90

博彩公司预测分布
31.72%33.63%33.55%35.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.572.712.652.9038.91%36.97%37.74%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 11.76%8.50公平赔率
EV +5.83%
优势 +0.648%
Kelly +0.729%
增长率 +0.042%

假设最高赔率为 9.00

博彩公司预测分布
10.35%11.63%11.71%12.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.008.108.009.0014.29%12.35%12.50%11.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：ThSV Eisenach (主队)：54.67%；HC Erlangen (客队)：33.57%；平局：11.76%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.50。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.00，对应+5.83%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.04%E -4.16%K -6.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +5.83%E +0.648%K +0.729%G +0.042%7.3%2026-02-26 08:59
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.04%E -4.16%K -6.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +5.83%E +0.648%K +0.729%G +0.042%7.3%2026-02-26 08:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.04%E -4.16%K -6.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +5.83%E +0.648%K +0.729%G +0.042%7.3%2026-02-26 09:00
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.04%E -4.16%K -6.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +5.83%E +0.648%K +0.729%G +0.042%7.3%2026-02-26 08:59
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.04%E -4.16%K -6.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +5.83%E +0.648%K +0.729%G +0.042%7.3%2026-02-26 08:59
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.04%E -4.16%K -6.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +5.83%E +0.648%K +0.729%G +0.042%7.3%2026-02-26 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.04%E -4.16%K -6.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +5.83%E +0.648%K +0.729%G +0.042%7.3%2026-02-26 08:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.92%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.67%EV -13.72%E -5.34%K -8.74%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.42%EV +3.48%E +0.395%K +0.446%G +0.016%9.1%2026-02-26 17:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.37%EV -6.00%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -5.93%E -0.741%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 11:35
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.62%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.77%EV -7.68%E -2.79%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.93%E -0.741%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 17:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.25%EV -8.16%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -6.00%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -5.93%E -0.741%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 11:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.78%EV -11.44%E -7.06%K -18.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.72%EV -2.64%E -0.911%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -5.93%E -0.741%K -0.847%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 11:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.90%EV -8.70%E -5.21%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.34%EV -7.68%E -2.79%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.75%EV -8.28%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 11:40
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.88%EV -9.25%E -5.57%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -7.68%E -2.79%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.99%EV -10.63%E -1.40%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-26 11:35
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.88%EV -9.25%E -5.57%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -7.68%E -2.79%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.99%EV -10.63%E -1.40%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-26 11:34
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -8.70%E -5.21%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.79%EV -6.00%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -11.81%E -1.57%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 11:34
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.76%EV -8.70%E -5.21%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.27%EV -12.04%E -4.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -11.81%E -1.57%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-26 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.16%EV -11.44%E -7.06%K -18.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.74%EV -12.71%E -4.89%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.10%EV -14.75%E -2.03%K -2.36%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-26 11:34
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -12.53%E -7.83%K -20.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -6.00%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -17.69%E -2.53%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-25 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -12.53%E -7.83%K -20.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -6.00%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -17.69%E -2.53%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-26 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 54.18%EV -13.08%E -8.22%K -22.16%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.52%EV -13.72%E -5.34%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.31%EV -17.69%E -2.53%K -2.95%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-26 17:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 54.09%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.54%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.36%15.5%2026-02-26 11:35

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%5.7%2026-02-26 17:35