Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

ThSV Eisenach v Füchse Berlin

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 18:00 UTC

Final: ThSV Eisenach 38–41 Füchse Berlin

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

ThSV Eisenach (Local)

Prediction 11.06%9.04fair odd
EV +10.61%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +1.18%
Growth +0.125%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.11%10.98%10.87%12.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.118.0010.0014.29%12.33%12.50%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Füchse Berlin (Visit)

Prediction 82.66%1.21fair odd
EV -6.59%
Edge -5.84%
Kelly -50.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.08%82.67%82.98%85.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.121.1392.59%90.12%89.69%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 6.28%15.92fair odd
EV +6.76%
Edge +0.397%
Kelly +0.422%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 17.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.61%6.36%6.16%7.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0014.3915.0017.008.33%6.95%6.67%5.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: ThSV Eisenach (Local): 11.06%; Füchse Berlin (Visit): 82.66%; Draw: 6.28%. For ThSV Eisenach (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.04. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.61%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV +10.61%E +1.06%K +1.18%G +0.125%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.07%EV -10.73%E -9.93%K -134.10%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV +0.477%E +0.030%K +0.032%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-28 21:09
Paddy Power🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV +10.61%E +1.06%K +1.18%G +0.125%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.38%EV -10.73%E -9.93%K -134.10%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -12.08%E -0.863%K -0.929%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-28 12:29
Coolbet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV +5.08%E +0.534%K +0.597%G +0.030%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.36%EV -6.59%E -5.84%K -50.73%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +6.76%E +0.397%K +0.422%G +0.029%4.9%2026-05-29 12:29
Winamax (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -0.454%E -0.050%K -0.057%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -8.25%E -7.43%K -74.98%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -5.80%E -0.387%K -0.414%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-28 12:19
Unibet (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -0.454%E -0.050%K -0.057%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -9.07%E -8.25%K -90.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -5.80%E -0.387%K -0.414%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 06:09
Codere (IT)🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 10.65%EV -4.88%E -0.567%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.25%EV -9.07%E -8.25%K -90.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -5.80%E -0.387%K -0.414%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-28 18:09
Betsson🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 10.83%EV -7.09%E -0.844%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.68%EV -9.07%E -8.25%K -90.75%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV -12.08%E -0.863%K -0.929%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-28 12:29
NordicBet🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 10.83%EV -7.09%E -0.844%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.68%EV -9.07%E -8.25%K -90.75%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV -12.08%E -0.863%K -0.929%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-28 12:19
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -11.51%E -1.44%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.84%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -5.80%E -0.387%K -0.414%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 08:49
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -11.51%E -1.44%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.84%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -5.80%E -0.387%K -0.414%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 08:49
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -11.51%E -1.44%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.84%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -5.80%E -0.387%K -0.414%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 08:49
Unibet (NL)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -11.51%E -1.44%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.84%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -5.80%E -0.387%K -0.414%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 08:49
Svenska Spel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -11.51%E -1.44%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.84%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -5.80%E -0.387%K -0.414%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 08:49
ATG (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -11.51%E -1.44%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.84%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -5.80%E -0.387%K -0.414%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 08:49
LeoVegas🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -11.51%E -1.44%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.84%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -5.80%E -0.387%K -0.414%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 08:50
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -11.51%E -1.44%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.84%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -5.80%E -0.387%K -0.414%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 08:50
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -11.51%E -1.44%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.84%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -5.80%E -0.387%K -0.414%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯7.55I 13.25%NM 11.87%EV -16.49%E -2.18%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 82.25%EV -9.90%E -9.08%K -110.01%G +0.000%15.25I 6.56%NM 5.88%EV -4.23%E -0.278%K -0.297%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 17:48
888sport🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -17.05%E -2.27%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 80.61%EV -8.25%E -7.43%K -74.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -24.64%E -2.05%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-28 18:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -17.05%E -2.27%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 80.61%EV -8.25%E -7.43%K -74.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -24.64%E -2.05%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-28 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -17.05%E -2.27%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 80.61%EV -8.25%E -7.43%K -74.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -24.64%E -2.05%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-29 11:19
Winamax (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -17.05%E -2.27%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 81.27%EV -10.73%E -9.93%K -134.10%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.02%EV -21.50%E -1.72%K -1.87%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-29 11:29
Marathon Bet🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.35%EV -18.15%E -2.45%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.88%EV -6.59%E -5.84%K -50.73%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.77%EV -15.22%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-29 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -22.58%E -3.23%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.84%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -5.80%E -0.387%K -0.414%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 13:40
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -22.58%E -3.23%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.84%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -5.80%E -0.387%K -0.414%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -22.58%E -3.23%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 80.08%EV -9.07%E -8.25%K -90.75%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.34%EV -24.64%E -2.05%K -2.24%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-29 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets7.00I 14.29%NM 12.36%1.08I 92.59%NM 80.11%11.49I 8.70%NM 7.53%15.6%2026-05-28 12:20

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯7.26I 13.77%NM 12.85%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.15%7.2%2026-05-29 14:29