Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

TBV Lemgo v SG Flensburg-Handewitt

2026-09-10 17:00 UTC — Handball-Bundesliga

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TBV Lemgo (Local)

Prediction 29.24%3.42fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.33%29.53%28.83%34.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.872.703.3039.22%34.88%37.04%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SG Flensburg-Handewitt (Visit)

Prediction 60.50%1.65fair odd
EV -0.777%
Edge -0.474%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.54%60.22%61.00%62.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.581.601.6469.44%63.38%62.50%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 10.26%9.74fair odd
EV +2.62%
Edge +0.262%
Kelly +0.291%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.26%10.25%10.17%10.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.509.409.5010.0011.76%10.64%10.53%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: TBV Lemgo (Local): 29.24%; SG Flensburg-Handewitt (Visit): 60.50%; Draw: 10.26%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.74. 8 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 10.00, producing a positive expected value of +2.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -21.06%E -7.80%K -12.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.45%EV -0.777%E -0.474%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +2.62%E +0.262%K +0.291%G +0.008%8.0%2026-09-08 13:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -21.06%E -7.80%K -12.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.45%EV -0.777%E -0.474%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +2.62%E +0.262%K +0.291%G +0.008%8.0%2026-09-08 13:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -21.06%E -7.80%K -12.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.45%EV -0.777%E -0.474%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +2.62%E +0.262%K +0.291%G +0.008%8.0%2026-09-08 13:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -21.06%E -7.80%K -12.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.45%EV -0.777%E -0.474%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +2.62%E +0.262%K +0.291%G +0.008%8.0%2026-09-08 13:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -21.06%E -7.80%K -12.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.45%EV -0.777%E -0.474%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +2.62%E +0.262%K +0.291%G +0.008%8.0%2026-09-08 13:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -21.06%E -7.80%K -12.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.45%EV -0.777%E -0.474%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +2.62%E +0.262%K +0.291%G +0.008%8.0%2026-09-08 13:44
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -21.06%E -7.80%K -12.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.45%EV -0.777%E -0.474%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +2.62%E +0.262%K +0.291%G +0.008%8.0%2026-09-08 13:44
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -21.06%E -7.80%K -12.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.45%EV -0.777%E -0.474%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +2.62%E +0.262%K +0.291%G +0.008%8.0%2026-09-08 13:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.45%EV -16.68%E -5.85%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.81%EV -3.20%E -2.00%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -2.51%E -0.264%K -0.296%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 10:24
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.49%EV -11.06%E -7.53%K -23.54%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -2.51%E -0.264%K -0.296%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 32.63%EV -17.85%E -6.35%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.30%EV -3.20%E -2.00%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.07%EV -6.62%E -0.727%K -0.817%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 11:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.00%EV -10.46%E -7.07%K -21.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -7.64%E -0.849%K -0.955%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 10:25
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.89%EV -11.06%E -7.53%K -23.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -7.64%E -0.849%K -0.955%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 10:25
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.64%EV -12.88%E -8.94%K -29.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -7.64%E -0.849%K -0.955%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 09:34
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.43%E -4.86%K -14.02%G +0.000%8.65I 11.56%NM 10.59%EV -11.24%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 10:25
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -13.75%E -4.66%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -3.20%E -2.00%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -12.77%E -1.50%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 13:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.20%EV -25.45%E -9.98%K -16.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.54%EV -5.01%E -3.19%K -8.79%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.26%EV -12.77%E -1.50%K -1.70%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-08 13:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.15%EV -23.99%E -9.23%K -14.99%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 56.71%EV -8.04%E -5.29%K -15.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.14%EV -12.77%E -1.50%K -1.70%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-08 10:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.