語言:繁體中文
TBV Lemgo v MT Melsungen
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
TBV Lemgo (主隊)
預測 61.16%1.64公平賠率
EV +0.906%
優勢 +0.549%
Kelly +1.39%
成長率 +0.013%
假設最高賠率為 1.65
博彩公司預測分布
56.90%60.67%61.32%65.04%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.361.521.521.6573.53%65.67%65.79%60.61%最小值平均值中位數最大值
MT Melsungen (客隊)
預測 28.80%3.47公平賠率
EV +6.57%
優勢 +1.78%
Kelly +2.43%
成長率 +0.160%
假設最高賠率為 3.70
博彩公司預測分布
23.91%29.22%28.61%32.27%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.753.092.953.7036.36%32.34%33.90%27.03%最小值平均值中位數最大值
和局
預測 10.04%9.96公平賠率
EV -4.61%
優勢 -0.485%
Kelly -0.542%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 9.50
博彩公司預測分布
9.67%10.11%10.07%11.06%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
8.008.658.509.5012.50%11.56%11.76%10.53%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：TBV Lemgo (主隊)：61.16%；MT Melsungen (客隊)：28.80%；和局：10.04%。 對於「MT Melsungen (客隊)」，該估計相當於3.47的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為3.70，對應+6.57%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（2 個賽果，而分析採用 3 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。
博彩公司賠率 (25 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 ▼ | 和局 | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.04%EV -16.83%E -12.37%K -46.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV +6.57%E +1.78%K +2.43%G +0.160% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -19.67%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-03 15:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.04%EV -16.83%E -12.37%K -46.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV +6.57%E +1.78%K +2.43%G +0.160% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -19.67%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-03 15:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -11.32%E -7.81%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -2.07%E -0.608%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 14:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.02%EV -8.27%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -4.95%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 14:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.64%EV -11.94%E -8.29%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -4.95%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -9.63%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-04 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -7.04%E -4.63%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 14:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.76%EV -10.10%E -6.87%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 9.87%EV -7.62%E -0.828%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.76%EV -10.10%E -6.87%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 9.87%EV -7.62%E -0.828%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.35%EV -11.94%E -8.29%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -19.67%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-04 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.35%EV -11.94%E -8.29%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -19.67%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-04 16:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.35%EV -11.94%E -8.29%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -19.67%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-04 16:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.11%EV -11.32%E -7.81%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.77%EV -11.29%E -3.66%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.13%EV -12.14%E -1.39%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 16:47 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.70%EV +0.906%E +0.549%K +1.39%G +0.013% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.27%EV -15.03%E -5.09%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.02%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 06:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.00%EV -10.71%E -7.34%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -15.03%E -5.09%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -14.65%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-04 14:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.32%EV -1.54%E -0.956%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -16.47%E -5.68%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -14.65%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 16:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.32%EV -1.54%E -0.956%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -16.47%E -5.68%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -14.65%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 16:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.32%EV -1.54%E -0.956%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -16.47%E -5.68%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -14.65%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 16:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.32%EV -1.54%E -0.956%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -16.47%E -5.68%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -14.65%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 16:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.32%EV -1.54%E -0.956%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -16.47%E -5.68%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -14.65%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 16:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.32%EV -1.54%E -0.956%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -16.47%E -5.68%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -14.65%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 16:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.32%EV -1.54%E -0.956%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -16.47%E -5.68%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -14.65%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 16:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.32%EV -1.54%E -0.956%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -16.47%E -5.68%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -14.65%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 16:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.32%EV -1.54%E -0.956%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -16.47%E -5.68%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -14.65%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 16:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -3.37%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -17.05%E -5.92%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.08%EV -8.63%E -0.948%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 16:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.90%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -20.79%E -7.56%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.02%EV -19.67%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-04 16:49 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 和局 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.72% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.94% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.34% | 15.2% | 2026-04-04 14:30 |
其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)
這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。
| 博彩公司 | 選項 1 | 選項 2 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 16:55 |