语言:简体中文
TBV Lemgo v GWD Minden
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
TBV Lemgo (主队)
预测 85.06%1.18公平赔率
EV -6.44%
优势 -5.85%
Kelly -64.37%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.10
博彩公司预测分布
82.54%85.08%85.05%88.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.051.071.071.1095.24%93.14%93.46%90.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
GWD Minden (客队)
预测 9.25%10.81公平赔率
EV +20.27%
优势 +1.56%
Kelly +1.69%
增长率 +0.342%
假设最高赔率为 13.00
博彩公司预测分布
7.11%9.22%9.22%10.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.5010.2710.0013.0011.76%9.74%10.00%7.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 5.69%17.57公平赔率
EV +8.13%
优势 +0.428%
Kelly +0.452%
增长率 +0.037%
假设最高赔率为 19.00
博彩公司预测分布
4.75%5.71%5.74%7.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
12.5016.0416.0019.008.00%6.23%6.25%5.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：TBV Lemgo (主队)：85.06%；GWD Minden (客队)：9.25%；平局：5.69%。 对于“GWD Minden (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.81。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为13.00，对应+20.27%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.03%EV -10.69%E -10.18%K -213.80%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV +20.27%E +1.56%K +1.69%G +0.342% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.86%EV +8.13%E +0.428%K +0.452%G +0.037% | 8.2% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.03%EV -10.69%E -10.18%K -213.80%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV +20.27%E +1.56%K +1.69%G +0.342% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.86%EV +8.13%E +0.428%K +0.452%G +0.037% | 8.2% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.90%EV -9.84%E -9.28%K -163.99%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +11.02%E +0.918%K +1.00%G +0.110% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -3.25%E -0.191%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 16:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.51%EV -10.69%E -10.18%K -213.80%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV +11.02%E +0.918%K +1.00%G +0.110% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV +8.13%E +0.428%K +0.452%G +0.037% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.77%EV -8.99%E -8.40%K -128.41%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV +6.39%E +0.556%K +0.609%G +0.039% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +2.44%E +0.136%K +0.144%G +0.004% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.79%EV -8.14%E -7.54%K -101.73%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -8.94%E -0.559%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 05:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.45%EV -8.99%E -8.40%K -128.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV +2.44%E +0.136%K +0.144%G +0.004% | 8.1% | 2026-05-01 07:18 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.95%EV -7.29%E -6.69%K -80.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -8.94%E -0.559%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.95%EV -7.29%E -6.69%K -80.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -8.94%E -0.559%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.95%EV -7.29%E -6.69%K -80.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -8.94%E -0.559%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.95%EV -7.29%E -6.69%K -80.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -8.94%E -0.559%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-30 23:58 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.95%EV -7.29%E -6.69%K -80.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -8.94%E -0.559%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.95%EV -7.29%E -6.69%K -80.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -8.94%E -0.559%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-30 23:58 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.95%EV -7.29%E -6.69%K -80.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -8.94%E -0.559%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.95%EV -7.29%E -6.69%K -80.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -8.94%E -0.559%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.95%EV -7.29%E -6.69%K -80.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -8.94%E -0.559%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.19%EV -8.99%E -8.40%K -128.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -8.94%E -0.559%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 16:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.19%EV -8.99%E -8.40%K -128.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -8.94%E -0.559%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 16:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.81%EV -9.84%E -9.28%K -163.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.35%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.83%EV -26.01%E -2.00%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-01 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.81%EV -9.84%E -9.28%K -163.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.35%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.83%EV -26.01%E -2.00%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-01 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.81%EV -9.84%E -9.28%K -163.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.35%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.83%EV -26.01%E -2.00%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-01 16:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.16%EV -9.84%E -9.28%K -163.99%G +0.000% | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.09%EV -17.20%E -1.92%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%EV +8.13%E +0.428%K +0.452%G +0.037% | 10.8% | 2026-05-01 17:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.45%EV -6.44%E -5.85%K -64.37%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.43%EV -18.59%E -2.11%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -14.63%E -0.975%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 17:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 82.54%EV -8.99%E -8.40%K -128.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -21.36%E -2.51%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.07%EV -28.86%E -2.31%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 83.24%EV -10.69%E -10.18%K -213.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.28%EV -21.36%E -2.51%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.47%EV -23.17%E -1.72%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-01 16:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 82.50% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 10.56% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 6.93% | 15.4% | 2026-05-01 16:09 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.48% | 6.91I 14.47%NM 13.52% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 15:15 |