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SG Flensburg-Handewitt v ThSV Eisenach
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SG Flensburg-Handewitt (Local)
Prediction 85.16%1.17fair odd
EV -5.48%
Edge -4.93%
Kelly -49.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.27%85.55%85.41%89.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.081.071.1195.24%92.56%93.46%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
ThSV Eisenach (Visit)
Prediction 9.34%10.70fair odd
EV +40.14%
Edge +2.68%
Kelly +2.87%
Growth +1.15%
assuming max odds 15.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.33%8.97%9.17%11.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.509.498.9515.0013.33%10.54%11.17%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 5.50%18.18fair odd
EV +26.50%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.319%
assuming max odds 23.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.13%5.48%5.42%7.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.5015.4814.0023.008.00%6.46%7.14%4.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SG Flensburg-Handewitt (Local): 85.16%; ThSV Eisenach (Visit): 9.34%; Draw: 5.50%. For ThSV Eisenach (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.70. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +40.14%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.55%EV -9.73%E -9.18%K -162.22%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +40.14%E +2.68%K +2.87%G +1.15% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV +26.50%E +1.15%K +1.20%G +0.319% | 5.4% | 2026-06-04 13:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.52%EV -10.58%E -10.08%K -211.69%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +21.45%E +1.65%K +1.79%G +0.384% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV -6.50%E -0.383%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-04 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.90%EV -9.73%E -9.18%K -162.22%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +12.11%E +1.01%K +1.10%G +0.133% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -6.50%E -0.383%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-04 07:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.45%EV -8.88%E -8.30%K -126.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +2.77%E +0.252%K +0.277%G +0.008% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -1.00%E -0.056%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-04 16:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.45%EV -8.88%E -8.30%K -126.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +2.77%E +0.252%K +0.277%G +0.008% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -1.00%E -0.056%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-04 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -9.73%E -9.18%K -162.22%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV +2.77%E +0.252%K +0.277%G +0.008% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -6.50%E -0.383%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-03 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -9.73%E -9.18%K -162.22%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV +2.77%E +0.252%K +0.277%G +0.008% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -6.50%E -0.383%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-03 14:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.47%EV -8.88%E -8.30%K -126.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -6.57%E -0.657%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -6.50%E -0.383%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-04 08:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.19%EV -8.88%E -8.30%K -126.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -6.57%E -0.657%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -12.00%E -0.750%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-04 16:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.19%EV -8.88%E -8.30%K -126.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -6.57%E -0.657%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -12.00%E -0.750%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-04 16:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.38%EV -9.73%E -9.18%K -162.22%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.82%EV -15.92%E -1.77%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.80%EV -28.50%E -2.19%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-04 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.38%EV -9.73%E -9.18%K -162.22%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.82%EV -15.92%E -1.77%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.80%EV -28.50%E -2.19%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-04 13:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.38%EV -9.73%E -9.18%K -162.22%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.82%EV -15.92%E -1.77%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.80%EV -28.50%E -2.19%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-04 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.84%EV -7.18%E -6.59%K -79.76%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.27%EV -16.85%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 5.90%EV -14.75%E -0.952%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-04 15:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.12%EV -9.73%E -9.18%K -162.22%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.25%EV -17.79%E -2.02%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 4.63%EV +7.25%E +0.372%K +0.392%G +0.028% | 10.8% | 2026-06-04 16:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 83.44%EV -10.58%E -10.08%K -211.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -20.59%E -2.42%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.26%EV -23.00%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-04 16:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.10%EV -5.48%E -4.93%K -49.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -25.26%E -3.16%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -23.00%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-04 10:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.10%EV -5.48%E -4.93%K -49.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -25.26%E -3.16%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -23.00%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-04 10:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.10%EV -5.48%E -4.93%K -49.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -25.26%E -3.16%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -23.00%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-04 10:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.10%EV -5.48%E -4.93%K -49.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -25.26%E -3.16%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -23.00%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-04 10:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.10%EV -5.48%E -4.93%K -49.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -25.26%E -3.16%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -23.00%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-04 10:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.10%EV -5.48%E -4.93%K -49.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -25.26%E -3.16%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -23.00%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-04 10:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.10%EV -5.48%E -4.93%K -49.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -25.26%E -3.16%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -23.00%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-04 10:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.10%EV -5.48%E -4.93%K -49.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -25.26%E -3.16%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -23.00%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-04 10:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.10%EV -5.48%E -4.93%K -49.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -25.26%E -3.16%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -23.00%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-04 10:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 81.27%EV -8.03%E -7.43%K -100.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -29.93%E -3.99%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.02%EV -31.25%E -2.50%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-04 10:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 82.51% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.83% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.66% | 15.4% | 2026-06-04 16:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.83% | 7.72I 12.95%NM 12.17% | 6.4% | 2026-06-04 16:10 |