语言:简体中文
SG Flensburg-Handewitt v TBV Lemgo
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
SG Flensburg-Handewitt (主队)
预测 70.42%1.42公平赔率
EV -7.75%
优势 -5.92%
Kelly -25.01%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.31
博彩公司预测分布
68.41%70.21%70.56%72.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.221.281.291.3181.97%78.00%77.52%76.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
TBV Lemgo (客队)
预测 21.08%4.74公平赔率
EV +3.31%
优势 +0.675%
Kelly +0.849%
增长率 +0.028%
假设最高赔率为 4.90
博彩公司预测分布
18.78%21.19%20.95%22.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.514.404.9025.00%22.16%22.73%20.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 8.50%11.77公平赔率
EV -2.25%
优势 -0.196%
Kelly -0.215%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 11.50
博彩公司预测分布
8.07%8.60%8.49%9.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.5010.3810.5011.5010.53%9.63%9.52%8.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：SG Flensburg-Handewitt (主队)：70.42%；TBV Lemgo (客队)：21.08%；平局：8.50%。 对于“TBV Lemgo (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.74。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.90，对应+3.31%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -10.57%E -8.32%K -39.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.849%G +0.028% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.75%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 08:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -10.57%E -8.32%K -39.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.849%G +0.028% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.75%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 08:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -10.57%E -8.32%K -39.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.849%G +0.028% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.75%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 08:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -10.57%E -8.32%K -39.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.849%G +0.028% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.75%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 08:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -10.57%E -8.32%K -39.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.849%G +0.028% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.75%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 08:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -10.57%E -8.32%K -39.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.849%G +0.028% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.75%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 08:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -10.57%E -8.32%K -39.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.849%G +0.028% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.75%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 08:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -10.57%E -8.32%K -39.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.849%G +0.028% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.75%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 08:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -10.57%E -8.32%K -39.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.849%G +0.028% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.75%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 08:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.38%EV -14.09%E -11.55%K -64.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.79%EV -0.907%E -0.193%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.83%EV -15.00%E -1.50%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-08 08:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.07%EV -8.46%E -6.51%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.12%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -6.50%E -0.591%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 16:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.64%EV -9.16%E -7.10%K -31.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -5.12%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -15.00%E -1.50%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.84%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.09%EV -7.23%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -2.25%E -0.196%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 11:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -8.46%E -6.51%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -7.23%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -6.50%E -0.591%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 10:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -8.46%E -6.51%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -7.23%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -6.50%E -0.591%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 11:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.60%EV -8.46%E -6.51%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -7.23%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.54%EV -8.63%E -0.803%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 16:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -9.16%E -7.10%K -31.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -8.71%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -19.25%E -2.03%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 04:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -9.16%E -7.10%K -31.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -8.71%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -19.25%E -2.03%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 04:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -9.16%E -7.10%K -31.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -8.71%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -19.25%E -2.03%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 04:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.20%EV -9.16%E -7.10%K -31.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.45%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -6.50%E -0.591%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 11:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.20%EV -9.16%E -7.10%K -31.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.45%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -6.50%E -0.591%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 11:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.32%EV -9.87%E -7.71%K -35.24%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 22.02%EV -15.03%E -3.73%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.66%EV -12.88%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-09 16:47 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.41%EV -8.46%E -6.51%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -15.67%E -3.92%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -19.25%E -2.03%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.41%EV -8.46%E -6.51%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -15.67%E -3.92%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -19.25%E -2.03%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 22:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.23%EV -10.57%E -8.32%K -39.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -15.67%E -3.92%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -15.00%E -1.50%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-09 11:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 68.89% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.26% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 8.86% | 15.2% | 2026-05-09 11:44 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.06% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 21.94% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 02:59 |