语言:简体中文
SG Flensburg-Handewitt v MT Melsungen
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
SG Flensburg-Handewitt (主队)
预测 75.96%1.32公平赔率
EV -7.33%
优势 -6.01%
Kelly -33.31%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.22
博彩公司预测分布
73.79%76.21%75.89%78.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.151.191.191.2286.96%84.28%84.03%81.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
MT Melsungen (客队)
预测 16.39%6.10公平赔率
EV +6.56%
优势 +1.01%
Kelly +1.19%
增长率 +0.078%
假设最高赔率为 6.50
博彩公司预测分布
13.90%16.09%16.48%17.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.926.006.5020.83%16.91%16.67%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 7.65%13.08公平赔率
EV -4.42%
优势 -0.354%
Kelly -0.385%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 12.50
博彩公司预测分布
7.41%7.71%7.64%8.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
10.0011.9312.0012.5010.00%8.38%8.33%8.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：SG Flensburg-Handewitt (主队)：75.96%；MT Melsungen (客队)：16.39%；平局：7.65%。 对于“MT Melsungen (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.10。 当时有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.50，对应+6.56%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -9.61%E -8.07%K -50.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV +6.56%E +1.01%K +1.19%G +0.078% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -8.25%E -0.687%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -12.65%E -11.00%K -84.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV +6.56%E +1.01%K +1.19%G +0.078% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -8.25%E -0.687%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -12.65%E -11.00%K -84.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV +6.56%E +1.01%K +1.19%G +0.078% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -8.25%E -0.687%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.78%EV -9.61%E -8.07%K -50.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV +2.46%E +0.394%K +0.469%G +0.012% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV -4.42%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.78%EV -9.61%E -8.07%K -50.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV +2.46%E +0.394%K +0.469%G +0.012% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV -4.42%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.78%EV -9.61%E -8.07%K -50.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV +2.46%E +0.394%K +0.469%G +0.012% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV -4.42%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.78%EV -9.61%E -8.07%K -50.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV +2.46%E +0.394%K +0.469%G +0.012% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV -4.42%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.78%EV -9.61%E -8.07%K -50.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV +2.46%E +0.394%K +0.469%G +0.012% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV -4.42%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.78%EV -9.61%E -8.07%K -50.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV +2.46%E +0.394%K +0.469%G +0.012% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV -4.42%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 09:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.78%EV -9.61%E -8.07%K -50.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV +2.46%E +0.394%K +0.469%G +0.012% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV -4.42%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 09:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.78%EV -9.61%E -8.07%K -50.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV +2.46%E +0.394%K +0.469%G +0.012% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV -4.42%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.78%EV -9.61%E -8.07%K -50.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV +2.46%E +0.394%K +0.469%G +0.012% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV -4.42%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -11.13%E -9.51%K -65.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -15.89%E -1.44%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -11.13%E -9.51%K -65.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -15.89%E -1.44%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-24 02:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -11.13%E -9.51%K -65.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -15.89%E -1.44%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-24 02:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.52%EV -8.85%E -7.37%K -44.24%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -4.92%E -0.848%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV -8.25%E -0.687%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.24%EV -7.33%E -6.01%K -33.31%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.32%EV -6.56%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -4.42%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 11:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.81%EV -8.09%E -6.68%K -38.51%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.20%E -1.46%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 7.81%EV -10.16%E -0.865%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 13:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.58%EV -11.89%E -10.25%K -74.29%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.66%EV -8.20%E -1.46%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.77%EV -23.54%E -2.35%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.86%EV -8.85%E -7.37%K -44.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.83%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -8.25%E -0.687%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 11:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.32%EV -11.13%E -9.51%K -65.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -9.83%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%EV -8.25%E -0.687%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 11:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.48%EV -8.09%E -6.68%K -38.51%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -11.47%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -8.25%E -0.687%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 18:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.63%EV -8.85%E -7.37%K -44.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -11.47%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -8.25%E -0.687%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 11:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.63%EV -8.85%E -7.37%K -44.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -11.47%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -8.25%E -0.687%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 11:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.51%EV -8.85%E -7.37%K -44.24%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 16.94%EV -12.29%E -2.30%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -8.25%E -0.687%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 18:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 73.79%EV -11.13%E -9.51%K -65.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.99%EV -21.31%E -4.44%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.22%EV -19.72%E -1.88%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-23 11:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.63% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.10% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.27% | 15.1% | 2026-04-23 11:55 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:45 |