The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

SG BBM Bietigheim v TSV Hannover-Burgdorf

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 17:01 UTC

Final: SG BBM Bietigheim 29–31 TSV Hannover-Burgdorf

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SG BBM Bietigheim (Local)

Prediction 21.33%4.69fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -0.896%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.25%21.32%20.99%23.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.224.154.5026.32%23.70%24.10%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Visit)

Prediction 69.71%1.43fair odd
EV -5.89%
Edge -4.36%
Kelly -16.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.93%69.70%70.02%70.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.321.321.3578.13%75.76%75.76%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 8.96%11.16fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.128%
Kelly -0.140%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.36%8.99%8.99%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0010.1410.5011.0011.11%9.86%9.52%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SG BBM Bietigheim (Local): 21.33%; TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Visit): 69.71%; Draw: 8.96%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 11.00, with an expected value of -1.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -4.03%E -0.896%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.98%E -6.05%K -24.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.37%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 15:11
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -4.03%E -0.896%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.64%EV -10.07%E -7.81%K -34.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -10.37%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 16:54
Betsson🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.60%EV -5.10%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.99%EV -8.68%E -6.63%K -28.00%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.40%EV -12.61%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 15:16
NordicBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.60%EV -5.10%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.99%EV -8.68%E -6.63%K -28.00%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.40%EV -12.61%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 15:14
Winamax (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.42%EV -7.98%E -6.05%K -24.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -1.40%E -0.128%K -0.140%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 16:54
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -1.40%E -0.128%K -0.140%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 14:41
Unibet (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -1.40%E -0.128%K -0.140%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 16:54
888sport🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -7.66%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -19.33%E -2.15%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.67%EV -7.66%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.38%EV -10.07%E -7.81%K -34.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -19.33%E -2.15%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.67%EV -7.66%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.38%EV -10.07%E -7.81%K -34.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -19.33%E -2.15%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 16:54
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.98%E -6.05%K -24.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -1.40%E -0.128%K -0.140%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.10%EV -11.49%E -2.77%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.95%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 8.95%EV -8.13%E -0.793%K -0.878%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 15:11
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.59%EV -5.89%E -4.36%K -16.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -5.88%E -0.560%K -0.619%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.59%EV -5.89%E -4.36%K -16.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -5.88%E -0.560%K -0.619%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 14:01
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.59%EV -5.89%E -4.36%K -16.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -5.88%E -0.560%K -0.619%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.59%EV -5.89%E -4.36%K -16.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -5.88%E -0.560%K -0.619%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.59%EV -5.89%E -4.36%K -16.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -5.88%E -0.560%K -0.619%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 14:01
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.59%EV -5.89%E -4.36%K -16.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -5.88%E -0.560%K -0.619%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.59%EV -5.89%E -4.36%K -16.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -5.88%E -0.560%K -0.619%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.59%EV -5.89%E -4.36%K -16.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -5.88%E -0.560%K -0.619%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 14:01
Betclic (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.00%EV -10.77%E -8.41%K -38.47%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 8.92%EV -11.26%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-19 16:53
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.00%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 68.74%EV -10.77%E -8.41%K -38.47%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -14.85%E -1.56%K -1.75%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-19 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.25%EV -18.96%E -4.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 66.93%EV -7.98%E -6.05%K -24.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.82%EV -19.33%E -2.15%K -2.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.85I 25.97%NM 22.52%1.27I 78.74%NM 68.26%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.22%15.4%2026-09-19 16:54

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%6.6%2026-09-19 14:26