The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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SG BBM Bietigheim v Füchse Berlin

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 18:01 UTC

Final: SG BBM Bietigheim 31–32 Füchse Berlin

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SG BBM Bietigheim (Local)

Prediction 9.13%10.96fair odd
EV +9.51%
Edge +0.793%
Kelly +0.865%
Growth +0.082%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.66%9.08%9.12%11.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.318.5012.0012.50%10.74%11.76%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Füchse Berlin (Visit)

Prediction 85.22%1.17fair odd
EV -6.26%
Edge -5.69%
Kelly -62.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.23%85.15%85.19%87.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.081.081.1095.24%92.82%92.59%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 5.65%17.69fair odd
EV +7.43%
Edge +0.391%
Kelly +0.413%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 19.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.84%5.77%5.70%7.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0014.4514.0019.008.33%6.92%7.14%5.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SG BBM Bietigheim (Local): 9.13%; Füchse Berlin (Visit): 85.22%; Draw: 5.65%. For SG BBM Bietigheim (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.96. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.51%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +9.51%E +0.793%K +0.865%G +0.082%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.90%EV -9.67%E -9.12%K -161.12%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -3.88%E -0.228%K -0.242%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-01 06:59
Tipico (DE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV +9.51%E +0.793%K +0.865%G +0.082%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.51%EV -10.52%E -10.02%K -210.39%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV +7.43%E +0.391%K +0.413%G +0.031%8.8%2026-10-01 07:34
Unibet (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +0.387%E +0.035%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.08%EV -7.96%E -7.37%K -99.54%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.47%EV -3.88%E -0.228%K -0.242%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-01 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +0.387%E +0.035%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.08%EV -7.96%E -7.37%K -99.54%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.47%EV -3.88%E -0.228%K -0.242%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-01 07:00
Coolbet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV +0.387%E +0.035%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.46%EV -7.96%E -7.37%K -99.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -15.19%E -1.01%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-02 16:04
Codere (IT)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -8.74%E -0.874%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.19%EV -8.82%E -8.24%K -125.93%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -9.53%E -0.596%K -0.635%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-02 18:10
888sport🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.30%EV -13.30%E -1.40%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 83.34%EV -9.67%E -9.12%K -161.12%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.36%EV -32.15%E -2.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-03 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.30%EV -13.30%E -1.40%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 83.34%EV -9.67%E -9.12%K -161.12%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.36%EV -32.15%E -2.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-03 17:51
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.30%EV -13.30%E -1.40%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 83.34%EV -9.67%E -9.12%K -161.12%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.36%EV -32.15%E -2.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-03 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯8.90I 11.24%NM 10.34%EV -18.78%E -2.11%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.63%EV -6.26%E -5.69%K -62.58%G +0.000%15.25I 6.56%NM 6.03%EV -13.77%E -0.903%K -0.966%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-01 06:55
Betclic (FR)🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.28%EV -20.15%E -2.30%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 84.86%EV -9.67%E -9.12%K -161.12%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 4.86%EV +4.61%E +0.249%K +0.263%G +0.012%11.2%2026-10-03 17:47
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -22.43%E -2.64%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.78%EV -6.26%E -5.69%K -62.58%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV -20.84%E -1.49%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-02 07:50
Virgin Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -22.43%E -2.64%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.78%EV -6.26%E -5.69%K -62.58%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV -20.84%E -1.49%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-02 07:50
Grosvenor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -22.43%E -2.64%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.78%EV -6.26%E -5.69%K -62.58%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV -20.84%E -1.49%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-02 07:50
LiveScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -22.43%E -2.64%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.78%EV -6.26%E -5.69%K -62.58%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV -20.84%E -1.49%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-02 07:50
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -22.43%E -2.64%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.78%EV -6.26%E -5.69%K -62.58%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV -20.84%E -1.49%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-02 07:50
Casumo🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -22.43%E -2.64%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.78%EV -6.26%E -5.69%K -62.58%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV -20.84%E -1.49%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-02 07:50
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -22.43%E -2.64%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.78%EV -6.26%E -5.69%K -62.58%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV -20.84%E -1.49%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-02 07:50
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -22.43%E -2.64%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.78%EV -6.26%E -5.69%K -62.58%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV -20.84%E -1.49%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-02 07:50
NordicBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.20%EV -22.43%E -2.64%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 82.57%EV -10.52%E -10.02%K -210.39%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.23%EV -32.15%E -2.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-03 17:55
Betsson🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.20%EV -22.43%E -2.64%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 82.57%EV -10.52%E -10.02%K -210.39%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.23%EV -32.15%E -2.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-03 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.00%EV -26.99%E -3.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 82.23%EV -8.82%E -8.24%K -125.93%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.77%EV -26.49%E -2.04%K -2.21%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-02 07:50
Winamax (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 10.80%EV -26.99%E -3.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 82.29%EV -10.52%E -10.02%K -210.39%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 6.91%EV -29.32%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-01 06:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎8.00I 12.50%NM 10.80%1.05I 95.24%NM 82.29%12.50I 8.00%NM 6.91%15.7%2026-10-01 18:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯7.84I 12.76%NM 11.91%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.09%7.1%2026-10-03 08:50