Language:English
SC Magdeburg v TSV Hannover-Burgdorf
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SC Magdeburg (Local)
Prediction 82.92%1.21fair odd
EV -5.47%
Edge -4.80%
Kelly -39.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.17%82.98%82.84%85.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.111.1492.59%89.86%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Visit)
Prediction 10.82%9.25fair odd
EV +8.16%
Edge +0.816%
Kelly +0.907%
Growth +0.074%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.15%10.66%10.94%13.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.418.5010.0015.38%11.88%11.76%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 6.26%15.97fair odd
EV +0.158%
Edge +0.010%
Kelly +0.011%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 16.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.69%6.36%6.23%7.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0013.5012.5016.008.33%7.41%8.00%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Magdeburg (Local): 82.92%; TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Visit): 10.82%; Draw: 6.26%. For TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.25. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.16%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.84%EV -8.78%E -7.99%K -87.84%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +8.16%E +0.816%K +0.907%G +0.074% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +0.158%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 13:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.07%EV -10.44%E -9.67%K -130.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV +8.16%E +0.816%K +0.907%G +0.074% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV +0.158%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 11:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -10.44%E -9.67%K -130.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV +8.16%E +0.816%K +0.907%G +0.074% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.10%E -0.407%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-08 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.42%EV -8.78%E -7.99%K -87.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +2.75%E +0.290%K +0.324%G +0.009% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.80%EV +0.158%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 13:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -8.78%E -7.99%K -87.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -2.66%E -0.295%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -6.10%E -0.407%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 13:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.21%EV -9.61%E -8.82%K -106.81%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.31%EV -4.82%E -0.548%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.48%EV -12.36%E -0.883%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.21%EV -9.61%E -8.82%K -106.81%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.31%EV -4.82%E -0.548%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.48%EV -12.36%E -0.883%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.74%EV -6.30%E -5.57%K -48.43%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -8.06%E -0.949%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -21.75%E -1.74%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 09:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.74%EV -6.30%E -5.57%K -48.43%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -8.06%E -0.949%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -21.75%E -1.74%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.74%EV -6.30%E -5.57%K -48.43%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -8.06%E -0.949%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -21.75%E -1.74%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 09:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.74%EV -6.30%E -5.57%K -48.43%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -8.06%E -0.949%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -21.75%E -1.74%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 09:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.74%EV -6.30%E -5.57%K -48.43%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -8.06%E -0.949%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -21.75%E -1.74%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 09:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.74%EV -6.30%E -5.57%K -48.43%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -8.06%E -0.949%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -21.75%E -1.74%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 09:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.74%EV -6.30%E -5.57%K -48.43%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -8.06%E -0.949%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -21.75%E -1.74%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 09:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.74%EV -6.30%E -5.57%K -48.43%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -8.06%E -0.949%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -21.75%E -1.74%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 09:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.74%EV -6.30%E -5.57%K -48.43%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -8.06%E -0.949%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -21.75%E -1.74%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 09:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.82%EV -7.95%E -7.17%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.94%EV -9.15%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 14.75I 6.78%NM 6.23%EV -7.67%E -0.520%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.12%EV -6.30%E -5.57%K -48.43%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.25%EV -10.77%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.63%EV -12.36%E -0.883%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.91%EV -10.44%E -9.67%K -130.52%G +0.000% | 7.85I 12.74%NM 11.41%EV -15.09%E -1.92%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 15.75I 6.35%NM 5.69%EV -1.41%E -0.089%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-08 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 81.58%EV -10.44%E -9.67%K -130.52%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.37%EV -16.18%E -2.09%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.05%EV -21.75%E -1.74%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-08 13:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.61%EV -7.95%E -7.17%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -18.88%E -2.52%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -24.88%E -2.07%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.61%EV -7.95%E -7.17%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -18.88%E -2.52%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -24.88%E -2.07%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.61%EV -7.95%E -7.17%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -18.88%E -2.52%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -24.88%E -2.07%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.17%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -29.70%E -4.57%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%EV -18.62%E -1.43%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.17%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -29.70%E -4.57%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%EV -18.62%E -1.43%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-07 14:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 80.79% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.01% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.20% | 15.7% | 2026-03-08 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 32.73% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.63% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.63% | 172.8% | 2026-03-08 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 32.73% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.63% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.63% | 172.8% | 2026-03-08 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 32.73% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.63% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.63% | 172.8% | 2026-03-08 13:50 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.45% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.55% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 13:45 |