语言:简体中文
SC Magdeburg v HSV Hamburg
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
SC Magdeburg (主队)
预测 84.88%1.18公平赔率
EV -5.78%
优势 -5.21%
Kelly -52.53%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.11
博彩公司预测分布
81.27%85.02%84.95%87.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.051.091.091.1195.24%92.13%91.74%90.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
HSV Hamburg (客队)
预测 9.30%10.75公平赔率
EV +20.89%
优势 +1.61%
Kelly +1.74%
增长率 +0.364%
假设最高赔率为 13.00
博彩公司预测分布
7.07%9.12%9.26%11.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.509.288.5013.0013.33%10.77%11.76%7.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 5.82%17.19公平赔率
EV +4.70%
优势 +0.261%
Kelly +0.276%
增长率 +0.013%
假设最高赔率为 18.00
博彩公司预测分布
5.14%5.86%5.79%7.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
12.5014.9614.0018.008.00%6.69%7.14%5.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：SC Magdeburg (主队)：84.88%；HSV Hamburg (客队)：9.30%；平局：5.82%。 对于“HSV Hamburg (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.75。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为13.00，对应+20.89%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.52%EV -10.87%E -10.35%K -217.42%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +20.89%E +1.61%K +1.74%G +0.364% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV -1.12%E -0.066%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 14:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.90%EV -10.02%E -9.46%K -167.04%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +11.59%E +0.966%K +1.05%G +0.122% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -1.12%E -0.066%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 13:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.45%EV -9.17%E -8.57%K -131.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +2.29%E +0.208%K +0.229%G +0.005% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV +4.70%E +0.261%K +0.276%G +0.013% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 14:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.45%EV -9.17%E -8.57%K -131.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +2.29%E +0.208%K +0.229%G +0.005% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV +4.70%E +0.261%K +0.276%G +0.013% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 14:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.95%EV -7.48%E -6.86%K -83.06%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.01%E -0.701%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -6.94%E -0.434%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 07:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.19%EV -9.17%E -8.57%K -131.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -7.01%E -0.701%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -6.94%E -0.434%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 14:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.19%EV -9.17%E -8.57%K -131.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -7.01%E -0.701%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -6.94%E -0.434%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.21%EV -7.48%E -6.86%K -83.06%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 9.87%EV -13.52%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 5.92%EV -9.84%E -0.635%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 14:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.38%EV -10.02%E -9.46%K -167.04%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.82%EV -16.31%E -1.81%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.80%EV -24.39%E -1.88%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-10 06:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.38%EV -10.02%E -9.46%K -167.04%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.82%EV -16.31%E -1.81%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.80%EV -24.39%E -1.88%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-10 06:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.38%EV -10.02%E -9.46%K -167.04%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.82%EV -16.31%E -1.81%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.80%EV -24.39%E -1.88%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-10 06:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.65%EV -5.78%E -5.21%K -52.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -20.96%E -2.47%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -18.57%E -1.33%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 07:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.65%EV -5.78%E -5.21%K -52.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -20.96%E -2.47%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -18.57%E -1.33%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 07:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.65%EV -5.78%E -5.21%K -52.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -20.96%E -2.47%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -18.57%E -1.33%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 07:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.65%EV -5.78%E -5.21%K -52.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -20.96%E -2.47%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -18.57%E -1.33%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 07:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.65%EV -5.78%E -5.21%K -52.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -20.96%E -2.47%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -18.57%E -1.33%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 07:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.65%EV -5.78%E -5.21%K -52.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -20.96%E -2.47%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -18.57%E -1.33%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 07:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.65%EV -5.78%E -5.21%K -52.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -20.96%E -2.47%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -18.57%E -1.33%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 07:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.65%EV -5.78%E -5.21%K -52.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -20.96%E -2.47%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -18.57%E -1.33%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 07:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.65%EV -5.78%E -5.21%K -52.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -20.96%E -2.47%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -18.57%E -1.33%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 07:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -7.48%E -6.86%K -83.06%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -20.96%E -2.47%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -1.12%E -0.066%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -7.48%E -6.86%K -83.06%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -20.96%E -2.47%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -1.12%E -0.066%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 13:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 83.44%EV -10.87%E -10.35%K -217.42%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -20.96%E -2.47%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.26%EV -18.57%E -1.33%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 14:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 81.27%EV -8.32%E -7.71%K -104.06%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -30.26%E -4.03%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.02%EV -27.29%E -2.18%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-10 07:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 82.51% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.83% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.66% | 15.4% | 2026-05-10 14:09 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.64% | 8.27I 12.09%NM 11.36% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 14:04 |