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SC Magdeburg v GWD Minden
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SC Magdeburg (Local)
Prediction 90.20%1.11fair odd
EV -7.99%
Edge -7.83%
Kelly -399.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.61%90.22%90.10%94.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.011.011.02100.00%99.05%99.01%98.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
GWD Minden (Visit)
Prediction 5.30%18.86fair odd
EV +80.26%
Edge +2.36%
Kelly +2.43%
Growth +1.95%
assuming max odds 34.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.80%5.36%5.35%7.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.0019.1820.0034.009.09%5.21%5.00%2.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 4.49%22.26fair odd
EV +52.77%
Edge +1.55%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.844%
assuming max odds 34.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.80%4.42%4.55%6.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
13.2525.3329.0034.007.55%3.95%3.45%2.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Magdeburg (Local): 90.20%; GWD Minden (Visit): 5.30%; Draw: 4.49%. For GWD Minden (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 18.86. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 34.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +80.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -8.89%E -8.80%K -889.30%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.80%EV +80.26%E +2.36%K +2.43%G +1.95% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.80%EV +52.77%E +1.55%K +1.60%G +0.844% | 4.9% | 2026-02-20 08:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.53%EV -7.99%E -7.83%K -399.55%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +37.85%E +1.46%K +1.51%G +0.573% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.81%EV +52.77%E +1.55%K +1.60%G +0.844% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.19%EV -8.89%E -8.80%K -889.30%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.23%EV +16.64%E +0.756%K +0.792%G +0.132% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%EV +16.82%E +0.647%K +0.673%G +0.113% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 22:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.14%EV -8.89%E -8.80%K -889.30%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.65%EV +6.04%E +0.302%K +0.318%G +0.019% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +30.30%E +1.04%K +1.08%G +0.328% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 10:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.14%EV -8.89%E -8.80%K -889.30%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.65%EV +6.04%E +0.302%K +0.318%G +0.019% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +30.30%E +1.04%K +1.08%G +0.328% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 10:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.14%EV -8.89%E -8.80%K -889.30%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.65%EV +6.04%E +0.302%K +0.318%G +0.019% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +30.30%E +1.04%K +1.08%G +0.328% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 10:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.14%EV -8.89%E -8.80%K -889.30%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.65%EV +6.04%E +0.302%K +0.318%G +0.019% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +30.30%E +1.04%K +1.08%G +0.328% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 10:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.14%EV -8.89%E -8.80%K -889.30%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.65%EV +6.04%E +0.302%K +0.318%G +0.019% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +30.30%E +1.04%K +1.08%G +0.328% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 10:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.14%EV -8.89%E -8.80%K -889.30%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.65%EV +6.04%E +0.302%K +0.318%G +0.019% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +30.30%E +1.04%K +1.08%G +0.328% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 10:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.14%EV -8.89%E -8.80%K -889.30%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.65%EV +6.04%E +0.302%K +0.318%G +0.019% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +30.30%E +1.04%K +1.08%G +0.328% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 10:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.14%EV -8.89%E -8.80%K -889.30%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.65%EV +6.04%E +0.302%K +0.318%G +0.019% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +30.30%E +1.04%K +1.08%G +0.328% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 10:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.14%EV -8.89%E -8.80%K -889.30%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.65%EV +6.04%E +0.302%K +0.318%G +0.019% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +30.30%E +1.04%K +1.08%G +0.328% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 10:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.67%EV -8.89%E -8.80%K -889.30%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV +6.04%E +0.302%K +0.318%G +0.019% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.70%EV +12.33%E +0.493%K +0.514%G +0.063% | 8.0% | 2026-02-22 12:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.84%EV -7.99%E -7.83%K -399.55%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV +0.734%E +0.039%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%EV +30.30%E +1.04%K +1.08%G +0.328% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.84%EV -7.99%E -7.83%K -399.55%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV +0.734%E +0.039%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%EV +30.30%E +1.04%K +1.08%G +0.328% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.10%EV -8.89%E -8.80%K -889.30%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.35%EV -9.87%E -0.581%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.55%EV -10.13%E -0.507%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-20 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.10%EV -8.89%E -8.80%K -889.30%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.35%EV -9.87%E -0.581%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.55%EV -10.13%E -0.507%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-20 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 88.85%EV -9.80%E -9.80%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.92%EV -20.47%E -1.36%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.23%EV -23.61%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-22 12:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 88.85%EV -9.80%E -9.80%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.92%EV -20.47%E -1.36%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.23%EV -23.61%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-22 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 88.85%EV -9.80%E -9.80%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.92%EV -20.47%E -1.36%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.23%EV -23.61%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-22 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 86.96%EV -9.80%E -9.80%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.25%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.80%EV -32.60%E -2.17%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-21 22:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 85.61%EV -8.89%E -8.80%K -889.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.86%EV -41.68%E -3.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 13.25I 7.55%NM 6.53%EV -40.46%E -3.05%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-02-22 13:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 86.33% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 7.51% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 6.16% | 15.8% | 2026-02-21 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 45.57% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 9.30% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 45.13% | 115.1% | 2026-02-22 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 45.57% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 9.30% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 45.13% | 115.1% | 2026-02-22 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 45.57% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 9.30% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 45.13% | 115.1% | 2026-02-22 09:25 |