语言:简体中文
SC DHfK Leipzig v MT Melsungen
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
SC DHfK Leipzig (主队)
预测 32.38%3.09公平赔率
EV -4.49%
优势 -1.52%
Kelly -2.30%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.95
博彩公司预测分布
30.47%32.88%32.44%36.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.782.752.9538.46%35.99%36.36%33.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
MT Melsungen (客队)
预测 56.15%1.78公平赔率
EV +1.08%
优势 +0.599%
Kelly +1.35%
增长率 +0.015%
假设最高赔率为 1.80
博彩公司预测分布
52.97%55.87%56.09%57.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.631.621.8065.36%61.43%61.73%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 11.47%8.72公平赔率
EV +5.51%
优势 +0.599%
Kelly +0.672%
增长率 +0.037%
假设最高赔率为 9.20
博彩公司预测分布
10.19%11.24%11.47%11.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.508.148.009.2013.33%12.29%12.50%10.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：SC DHfK Leipzig (主队)：32.38%；MT Melsungen (客队)：56.15%；平局：11.47%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.72。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.20，对应+5.51%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.67%EV -15.82%E -6.08%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.97%EV +1.08%E +0.599%K +1.35%G +0.015% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.36%EV +5.51%E +0.599%K +0.672%G +0.037% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 12:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.22%EV -13.23%E -4.94%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.59%EV -7.35%E -4.45%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV +3.21%E +0.357%K +0.402%G +0.013% | 9.0% | 2026-05-21 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -10.96%E -3.99%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.59%EV -6.78%E -4.09%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.52%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -10.96%E -3.99%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.59%EV -6.78%E -4.09%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.52%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -10.96%E -3.99%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.59%EV -6.78%E -4.09%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.52%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -10.96%E -3.99%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.59%EV -6.78%E -4.09%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.52%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -10.96%E -3.99%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.59%EV -6.78%E -4.09%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.52%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -10.96%E -3.99%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.59%EV -6.78%E -4.09%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.52%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -10.96%E -3.99%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.59%EV -6.78%E -4.09%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.52%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -10.96%E -3.99%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.59%EV -6.78%E -4.09%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.52%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -10.96%E -3.99%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.59%EV -6.78%E -4.09%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.52%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.72%EV -6.10%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.78%EV -9.03%E -5.57%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -8.25%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-21 13:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.72%EV -6.10%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.78%EV -9.03%E -5.57%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -8.25%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-21 13:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -4.49%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.39%EV -10.15%E -6.35%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -8.25%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 13:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.87%EV -6.75%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.03%E -5.57%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -8.25%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-21 13:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.99%EV -7.72%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -9.59%E -5.96%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -8.25%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 13:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.99%EV -7.72%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -9.59%E -5.96%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -8.25%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 13:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -14.85%E -5.65%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.30%EV -10.15%E -6.35%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -8.25%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.47%EV -11.61%E -4.25%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.10%EV -11.28%E -7.14%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.44%EV -11.12%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-21 16:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -10.96%E -3.99%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55%EV -9.59%E -5.96%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -13.99%E -1.87%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-21 13:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -10.96%E -3.99%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55%EV -9.59%E -5.96%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -13.99%E -1.87%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-21 13:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -10.96%E -3.99%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55%EV -9.59%E -5.96%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -13.99%E -1.87%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-21 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -6.10%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.75%EV -14.08%E -9.21%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.78%EV -13.99%E -1.87%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-21 13:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -6.10%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.75%EV -14.08%E -9.21%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.78%EV -13.99%E -1.87%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-21 13:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.35%EV -12.58%E -4.66%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.00%EV -12.40%E -7.95%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.65%EV -13.99%E -1.87%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-21 13:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 32.51% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.80% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 11.69% | 15.6% | 2026-05-21 13:30 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |