The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

SC DHfK Leipzig v GWD Minden

Kickoff: 2026-06-07 13:00 UTC

Final: SC DHfK Leipzig 26–25 GWD Minden

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC DHfK Leipzig (Local)

Prediction 36.89%2.71fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.850%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.47%37.51%36.82%41.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.532.552.6543.86%39.51%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

GWD Minden (Visit)

Prediction 51.64%1.94fair odd
EV +3.28%
Edge +1.64%
Kelly +3.28%
Growth +0.107%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.63%51.03%51.73%54.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.741.702.0061.35%57.62%58.82%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.48%8.71fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +0.366%
Kelly +0.412%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.31%11.46%11.45%12.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.048.509.0014.29%12.44%11.76%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC DHfK Leipzig (Local): 36.89%; GWD Minden (Visit): 51.64%; Draw: 11.48%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.71. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.29%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.78%EV -15.90%E -6.97%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV +3.28%E +1.64%K +3.28%G +0.107%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV +3.29%E +0.366%K +0.412%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-07 11:29
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.21%EV -14.43%E -6.22%K -10.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.50%E -3.01%K -6.63%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.09%EV -5.89%E -0.718%K -0.818%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-07 12:10
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.21%EV -14.43%E -6.22%K -10.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.50%E -3.01%K -6.63%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.09%EV -5.89%E -0.718%K -0.818%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-07 12:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.35%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -8.08%E -4.54%K -10.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -8.18%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-07 12:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.53%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.30%EV -8.08%E -4.54%K -10.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -13.92%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-07 12:08
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.73%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.47%EV -9.63%E -5.51%K -12.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -2.45%E -0.288%K -0.326%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-07 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.28%EV -9.26%E -3.76%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.41%EV -9.63%E -5.51%K -12.85%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.31%EV +2.14%E +0.241%K +0.271%G +0.006%9.0%2026-06-07 11:59
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.46%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -10.67%E -6.17%K -14.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.58%EV -2.45%E -0.288%K -0.326%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-07 09:29
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.57%EV -10.67%E -6.17%K -14.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -19.66%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-07 12:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.57%EV -10.67%E -6.17%K -14.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -19.66%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-07 12:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.57%EV -10.67%E -6.17%K -14.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -19.66%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-07 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 36.26%EV -10.00%E -4.10%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.45%EV -11.18%E -6.50%K -15.53%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.29%EV -17.37%E -2.41%K -2.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-07 12:49
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.84%EV -2.25%E -0.850%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -12.22%E -7.19%K -17.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.45%E -0.288%K -0.326%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-07 08:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.84%EV -2.25%E -0.850%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -12.22%E -7.19%K -17.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.45%E -0.288%K -0.326%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-07 08:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.84%EV -2.25%E -0.850%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -12.22%E -7.19%K -17.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.45%E -0.288%K -0.326%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-07 08:29
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.84%EV -2.25%E -0.850%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -12.22%E -7.19%K -17.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.45%E -0.288%K -0.326%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-07 08:29
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.84%EV -2.25%E -0.850%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -12.22%E -7.19%K -17.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.45%E -0.288%K -0.326%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-07 08:29
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.84%EV -2.25%E -0.850%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -12.22%E -7.19%K -17.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.45%E -0.288%K -0.326%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-07 08:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.84%EV -2.25%E -0.850%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -12.22%E -7.19%K -17.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.45%E -0.288%K -0.326%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-07 08:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.84%EV -2.25%E -0.850%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -12.22%E -7.19%K -17.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.45%E -0.288%K -0.326%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-07 08:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.84%EV -2.25%E -0.850%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -12.22%E -7.19%K -17.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.45%E -0.288%K -0.326%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-07 08:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.72%EV -12.22%E -7.19%K -17.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -19.66%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-07 06:29
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.72%EV -12.22%E -7.19%K -17.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -19.66%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-07 06:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.61%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.68%EV -12.22%E -7.19%K -17.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.71%EV -13.92%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-07 12:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.26%EV -15.83%E -9.71%K -25.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -8.18%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-07 08:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 36.39%1.69I 59.17%NM 51.24%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.37%15.5%2026-06-07 12:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%5.3%2026-06-07 12:19