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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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SC DHfK Leipzig v Frisch Auf Göppingen

开赛时间： 2026-04-09 17:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SC DHfK Leipzig (主队)

预测 48.61%2.06公平赔率
EV -6.18%
优势 -3.20%
Kelly -6.64%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.93

博彩公司预测分布
47.64%48.58%48.67%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.821.831.9359.52%54.90%54.64%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

Frisch Auf Göppingen (客队)

预测 39.26%2.55公平赔率
EV +0.114%
优势 +0.045%
Kelly +0.074%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
35.91%39.41%39.27%41.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.232.412.382.5544.84%41.51%42.02%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 12.13%8.25公平赔率
EV +4.29%
优势 +0.498%
Kelly +0.564%
增长率 +0.024%

假设最高赔率为 8.60

博彩公司预测分布
10.66%12.00%12.06%12.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.007.637.758.6014.29%13.10%12.90%11.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：SC DHfK Leipzig (主队)：48.61%；Frisch Auf Göppingen (客队)：39.26%；平局：12.13%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.25。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.60，对应+4.29%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.24%EV -7.64%E -4.02%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.10%EV -12.45%E -5.58%K -10.12%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.66%EV +4.29%E +0.498%K +0.564%G +0.024%9.1%2026-04-09 15:30
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -13.95%E -7.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV +0.114%E +0.045%K +0.074%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -2.99%E -0.374%K -0.427%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -13.95%E -7.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV +0.114%E +0.045%K +0.074%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -2.99%E -0.374%K -0.427%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 16:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -13.95%E -7.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV +0.114%E +0.045%K +0.074%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -2.99%E -0.374%K -0.427%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 15:55
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -13.95%E -7.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV +0.114%E +0.045%K +0.074%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -2.99%E -0.374%K -0.427%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 15:55
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -13.95%E -7.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV +0.114%E +0.045%K +0.074%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -2.99%E -0.374%K -0.427%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 15:55
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -13.95%E -7.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV +0.114%E +0.045%K +0.074%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -2.99%E -0.374%K -0.427%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -13.95%E -7.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV +0.114%E +0.045%K +0.074%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -2.99%E -0.374%K -0.427%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -13.95%E -7.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV +0.114%E +0.045%K +0.074%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -2.99%E -0.374%K -0.427%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -13.95%E -7.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV +0.114%E +0.045%K +0.074%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -2.99%E -0.374%K -0.427%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 16:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.64%EV -6.18%E -3.20%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.87%EV -11.66%E -5.18%K -9.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.99%E -0.374%K -0.427%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 15:30
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.36%EV -8.61%E -4.58%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.67%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.97%EV -6.02%E -0.777%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 15:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.69%EV -7.64%E -4.02%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -7.74%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.94%EV -6.02%E -0.777%K -0.892%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 15:30
Betsson🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -9.09%E -4.86%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.38%EV -9.31%E -4.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.97%EV -7.84%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-09 15:30
NordicBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -9.09%E -4.86%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.38%EV -9.31%E -4.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.97%EV -7.84%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-09 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.74%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.01%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -9.05%E -1.21%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-09 15:31
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -9.09%E -4.86%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.32%EV -9.31%E -4.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -9.05%E -1.21%K -1.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-09 15:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.36%EV -18.33%E -10.91%K -26.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.91%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.73%EV -9.05%E -1.21%K -1.39%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-09 15:55
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.25%EV -11.04%E -6.03%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -15.12%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-09 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.25%EV -11.04%E -6.03%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -15.12%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-09 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.25%EV -11.04%E -6.03%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -15.12%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-09 16:01
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.61%EV -11.04%E -6.03%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -9.70%E -4.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -15.12%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-09 15:28
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.61%EV -11.04%E -6.03%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -9.70%E -4.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -15.12%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-08 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.61%EV -11.04%E -6.03%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -9.70%E -4.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -15.12%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-08 16:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.34%EV -11.52%E -6.33%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -11.66%E -5.18%K -9.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.57%EV -15.12%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-09 15:30
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 48.19%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.42%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.39%15.3%2026-04-09 15:31

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%5.2%2026-04-09 15:55