默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SC DHfK Leipzig v Bergischer HC

开赛时间: 2026-03-01 15:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SC DHfK Leipzig (主队)

预测 67.55%1.48公平赔率
EV -4.08%
优势 -2.87%
Kelly -9.71%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.42

博彩公司预测分布
65.32%67.63%67.60%70.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.281.371.361.4278.13%73.22%73.53%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bergischer HC (客队)

预测 23.26%4.30公平赔率
EV +2.34%
优势 +0.532%
Kelly +0.688%
增长率 +0.016%

假设最高赔率为 4.40

博彩公司预测分布
20.50%23.19%23.15%25.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.423.883.794.4029.24%25.79%26.39%22.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 9.19%10.88公平赔率
EV +1.09%
优势 +0.099%
Kelly +0.109%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 11.00

博彩公司预测分布
8.29%9.19%9.26%9.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.009.9410.0011.0011.11%10.06%10.00%9.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:SC DHfK Leipzig (主队):67.55%;Bergischer HC (客队):23.26%;平局:9.19%。 对于“Bergischer HC (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.30。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.40,对应+2.34%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.48%EV -13.53%E -10.57%K -48.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV +2.34%E +0.532%K +0.688%G +0.016%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-27 11:59
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.48%EV -13.53%E -10.57%K -48.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV +2.34%E +0.532%K +0.688%G +0.016%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-27 11:59
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68%EV -8.81%E -6.52%K -25.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV +0.014%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.40%EV -9.48%E -7.08%K -27.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -2.31%E -0.550%K -0.722%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +1.09%E +0.099%K +0.109%G +0.001%7.5%2026-02-28 06:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.42%EV -5.43%E -3.88%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.99%EV -3.51%E -0.334%K -0.369%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 03:40
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.55%EV -10.16%E -7.64%K -30.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -17.29%E -1.92%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 23:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.55%EV -10.16%E -7.64%K -30.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -17.29%E -1.92%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 23:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.55%EV -10.16%E -7.64%K -30.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -17.29%E -1.92%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 23:09
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.61%EV -10.16%E -7.64%K -30.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -8.13%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV +1.09%E +0.099%K +0.109%G +0.001%9.6%2026-02-28 09:04
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.61%EV -10.16%E -7.64%K -30.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -8.13%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV +1.09%E +0.099%K +0.109%G +0.001%9.6%2026-02-28 09:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.07%EV -7.45%E -5.44%K -20.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.62%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -3.51%E -0.334%K -0.369%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 14:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.62%EV -12.18%E -9.37%K -40.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -11.62%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.25%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 09:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -6.78%E -4.91%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.27%EV -12.08%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.27%EV -9.02%E -0.911%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 12:34
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.90%EV -10.16%E -7.64%K -30.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.78%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.37%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-28 20:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.54%EV -4.08%E -2.87%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 08:34
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.54%EV -4.08%E -2.87%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 08:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.54%EV -4.08%E -2.87%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 08:34
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.54%EV -4.08%E -2.87%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 08:34
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.54%EV -4.08%E -2.87%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 08:34
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.54%EV -4.08%E -2.87%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 08:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.54%EV -4.08%E -2.87%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 08:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.54%EV -4.08%E -2.87%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 08:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.54%EV -4.08%E -2.87%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 08:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 65.32%EV -10.83%E -8.21%K -33.85%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.21%EV -20.45%E -5.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 9.47%EV -16.37%E -1.80%K -2.02%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-01 15:19
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 65.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.14%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.64%15.3%2026-02-28 20:04

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.46%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.54%6.2%2026-03-01 10:44