Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rhein-Neckar Löwen v ThSV Eisenach

Kickoff: 2026-10-08 17:00 UTC

Final: Rhein-Neckar Löwen 29–33 ThSV Eisenach

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Local)

Prediction 73.07%1.37fair odd
EV -7.93%
Edge -6.29%
Kelly -30.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.00%73.04%73.09%75.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.231.231.2684.75%81.07%81.30%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

ThSV Eisenach (Visit)

Prediction 17.48%5.72fair odd
EV +1.39%
Edge +0.240%
Kelly +0.290%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 5.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.02%17.42%17.49%18.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.825.325.385.8020.75%18.80%18.60%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 9.45%10.58fair odd
EV +13.37%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.163%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.73%9.54%9.42%10.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0010.5510.0012.0011.11%9.47%10.00%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Local): 73.07%; ThSV Eisenach (Visit): 17.48%; Draw: 9.45%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.58. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.41%EV -10.12%E -8.23%K -44.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -3.85%E -0.701%K -0.856%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV +13.37%E +1.11%K +1.22%G +0.163%7.8%2026-10-05 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.41%EV -10.12%E -8.23%K -44.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -3.85%E -0.701%K -0.856%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV +13.37%E +1.11%K +1.22%G +0.163%7.8%2026-10-05 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.41%EV -10.12%E -8.23%K -44.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -3.85%E -0.701%K -0.856%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV +13.37%E +1.11%K +1.22%G +0.163%7.8%2026-10-05 13:14
Casumo🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.41%EV -10.12%E -8.23%K -44.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -3.85%E -0.701%K -0.856%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV +13.37%E +1.11%K +1.22%G +0.163%7.8%2026-10-05 13:15
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.41%EV -10.12%E -8.23%K -44.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -3.85%E -0.701%K -0.856%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV +13.37%E +1.11%K +1.22%G +0.163%7.8%2026-10-05 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.41%EV -10.12%E -8.23%K -44.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -3.85%E -0.701%K -0.856%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV +13.37%E +1.11%K +1.22%G +0.163%7.8%2026-10-05 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.41%EV -10.12%E -8.23%K -44.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -3.85%E -0.701%K -0.856%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV +13.37%E +1.11%K +1.22%G +0.163%7.8%2026-10-05 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.41%EV -10.12%E -8.23%K -44.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -3.85%E -0.701%K -0.856%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV +13.37%E +1.11%K +1.22%G +0.163%7.8%2026-10-05 13:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -10.12%E -8.23%K -44.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV +1.39%E +0.240%K +0.290%G +0.004%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +3.93%E +0.357%K +0.393%G +0.015%7.6%2026-10-05 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -8.66%E -6.93%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -8.22%E -1.57%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -5.52%E -0.552%K -0.614%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-05 12:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -12.31%E -10.26%K -61.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -12.59%E -2.52%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -5.52%E -0.552%K -0.614%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-05 13:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.10%EV -8.66%E -6.93%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -9.10%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.32%EV -7.41%E -0.756%K -0.842%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-05 12:30
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.35%EV -9.39%E -7.57%K -39.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.32%EV -8.22%E -1.57%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.33%EV -7.88%E -0.809%K -0.901%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 12:15
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.35%EV -9.39%E -7.57%K -39.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.32%EV -8.22%E -1.57%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.33%EV -7.88%E -0.809%K -0.901%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 12:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.80%EV -7.93%E -6.29%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -9.10%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.56%EV -9.30%E -0.969%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-05 12:13
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.00%EV -10.12%E -8.23%K -44.01%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 18.37%EV -15.74%E -3.27%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.63%EV -13.08%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-05 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.66%E -6.93%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -0.356%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -14.97%E -1.66%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-05 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.66%E -6.93%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -12.59%E -2.52%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.97%E -1.66%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-05 12:25
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.66%E -6.93%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -12.59%E -2.52%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.97%E -1.66%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-05 12:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 72.89%EV -13.78%E -11.67%K -76.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.55%EV -14.34%E -2.93%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.56%EV -14.97%E -1.66%K -1.87%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-05 12:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.