The School of Odds
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Rhein-Neckar Löwen v SG Flensburg-Handewitt

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Local)

Prediction 32.20%3.11fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.77%32.37%32.14%34.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.782.753.0038.46%35.97%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SG Flensburg-Handewitt (Visit)

Prediction 57.80%1.73fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -5.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.00%57.44%57.88%58.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.611.581.6764.94%62.20%63.29%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 10.00%10.00fair odd
EV -5.03%
Edge -0.530%
Kelly -0.592%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.72%10.19%9.98%11.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.658.509.5013.33%11.57%11.76%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Local): 32.20%; SG Flensburg-Handewitt (Visit): 57.80%; Draw: 10.00%. For Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -3.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -3.40%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.51%E -4.70%K -12.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -20.03%E -2.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -6.62%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.44%EV -8.67%E -5.49%K -14.95%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -5.03%E -0.530%K -0.592%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 16:59
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -6.62%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.44%EV -8.67%E -5.49%K -14.95%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -5.03%E -0.530%K -0.592%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 16:58
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -7.27%E -2.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -10.03%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 16:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -8.23%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -8.67%E -5.49%K -14.95%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.76%EV -6.03%E -0.642%K -0.718%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 17:00
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.00%EV -8.23%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.91%EV -8.03%E -0.873%K -0.979%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 16:59
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.00%EV -8.23%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.91%EV -8.03%E -0.873%K -0.979%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -9.84%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 56.97%EV -10.98%E -7.13%K -20.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -25.02%E -3.34%K -3.85%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 17:00
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.59%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -15.03%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.59%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -15.03%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 16:59
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.59%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -15.03%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 16:59
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.59%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -15.03%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 16:59
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.59%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -15.03%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 16:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.59%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -15.03%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 16:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.59%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -15.03%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 16:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.59%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -15.03%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 16:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.59%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -15.03%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.96%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -15.03%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 16:59
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.96%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -15.03%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 17:00
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.96%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -15.03%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.96%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -15.03%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.96%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -15.03%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 32.45%EV -12.10%E -4.43%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.53%EV -10.98%E -7.13%K -20.34%G +0.000%8.85I 11.30%NM 10.01%EV -11.53%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 16:58
Marathon Bet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 34.79%EV -14.99%E -5.68%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -10.03%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -16.28%E -6.26%K -10.18%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.08%EV -7.51%E -4.70%K -12.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.02%EV -20.03%E -2.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.66I 37.59%NM 32.56%1.51I 66.23%NM 57.36%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.07%15.4%2026-04-11 17:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%5.7%2026-04-11 16:59