Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rhein-Neckar Löwen v SC Magdeburg

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 13:00 UTC

Final: Rhein-Neckar Löwen 30–33 SC Magdeburg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Local)

Prediction 25.78%3.88fair odd
EV -4.60%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.80%25.88%25.59%27.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.553.603.7029.85%28.18%27.78%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Magdeburg (Visit)

Prediction 63.94%1.56fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -5.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.79%63.88%63.98%65.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.421.421.5273.53%70.63%70.42%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 10.28%9.73fair odd
EV +2.78%
Edge +0.278%
Kelly +0.308%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.54%10.23%10.43%10.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.039.0010.0012.50%11.07%11.11%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Local): 25.78%; SC Magdeburg (Visit): 63.94%; Draw: 10.28%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.73. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.78%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.79%EV -2.81%E -1.85%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +2.78%E +0.278%K +0.308%G +0.009%4.8%2026-05-24 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.34%EV -10.27%E -2.95%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.11%EV -8.57%E -5.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.55%EV -1.33%E -0.139%K -0.155%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 12:19
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.77%EV -9.21%E -6.48%K -21.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -2.36%E -0.249%K -0.278%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 09:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.77%EV -9.21%E -6.48%K -21.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -2.36%E -0.249%K -0.278%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 09:29
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.77%EV -9.21%E -6.48%K -21.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -2.36%E -0.249%K -0.278%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 09:29
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.77%EV -9.21%E -6.48%K -21.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -2.36%E -0.249%K -0.278%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 09:29
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.77%EV -9.21%E -6.48%K -21.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -2.36%E -0.249%K -0.278%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 09:29
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.77%EV -9.21%E -6.48%K -21.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -2.36%E -0.249%K -0.278%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 09:30
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.77%EV -9.21%E -6.48%K -21.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -2.36%E -0.249%K -0.278%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 09:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.77%EV -9.21%E -6.48%K -21.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -2.36%E -0.249%K -0.278%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 09:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.77%EV -9.21%E -6.48%K -21.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -2.36%E -0.249%K -0.278%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 09:30
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.54%EV -10.49%E -7.49%K -26.21%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -2.36%E -0.249%K -0.278%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-24 10:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.33%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV -7.50%E -0.833%K -0.938%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -9.21%E -6.48%K -21.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -7.50%E -0.833%K -0.938%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.71%EV -13.04%E -9.59%K -36.23%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.78%EV -7.50%E -0.833%K -0.938%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-22 09:30
Codere (IT)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.11%EV -8.57%E -5.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.42%EV -9.56%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 12:20
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -9.21%E -6.48%K -21.92%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.55%EV -11.61%E -1.35%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 12:20
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -9.21%E -6.48%K -21.92%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.55%EV -11.61%E -1.35%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 12:20
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.37%EV -10.49%E -7.49%K -26.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -12.64%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 12:20
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.91%EV -10.49%E -7.49%K -26.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -12.64%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 10:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.91%EV -10.49%E -7.49%K -26.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -12.64%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 10:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.91%EV -10.49%E -7.49%K -26.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -12.64%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.91%EV -10.49%E -7.49%K -26.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -12.64%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 22:49
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.91%EV -10.49%E -7.49%K -26.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -12.64%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 22:49
Betclic (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.23%EV -10.49%E -7.49%K -26.21%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.73%EV -15.21%E -1.84%K -2.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-24 12:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -13.62%E -4.07%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 62.95%EV -11.13%E -8.00%K -28.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.94%EV -17.78%E -2.22%K -2.54%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-24 12:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.87%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.84%15.3%2026-05-24 12:20

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 27.84%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.16%6.6%2026-05-24 12:10