The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Rhein-Neckar Löwen v HSG Wetzlar

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Local)

Prediction 76.04%1.32fair odd
EV -6.47%
Edge -5.26%
Kelly -28.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.79%76.16%75.90%78.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.201.211.2386.96%83.11%82.64%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HSG Wetzlar (Visit)

Prediction 16.31%6.13fair odd
EV +6.01%
Edge +0.924%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.066%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.90%16.07%16.48%17.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.775.756.5020.83%17.32%17.39%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 7.65%13.07fair odd
EV -0.506%
Edge -0.039%
Kelly -0.042%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.09%7.77%7.62%8.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0011.4011.0013.0010.00%8.77%9.09%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Local): 76.04%; HSG Wetzlar (Visit): 16.31%; Draw: 7.65%. For HSG Wetzlar (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.13. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.01%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -12.56%E -10.92%K -83.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV +6.01%E +0.924%K +1.09%G +0.066%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -8.16%E -0.680%K -0.742%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-27 10:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -12.56%E -10.92%K -83.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV +6.01%E +0.924%K +1.09%G +0.066%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -8.16%E -0.680%K -0.742%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-27 10:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.06%EV -10.28%E -8.71%K -57.09%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV +1.12%E +0.180%K +0.215%G +0.002%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -0.506%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-26 22:14
Coolbet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -7.99%E -6.61%K -38.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -2.15%E -0.358%K -0.429%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -8.16%E -0.680%K -0.742%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 22:00
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -11.04%E -9.43%K -64.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -2.15%E -0.358%K -0.429%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -8.16%E -0.680%K -0.742%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-26 21:54
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -10.28%E -8.71%K -57.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -2.15%E -0.358%K -0.429%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -23.47%E -2.35%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-26 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -10.28%E -8.71%K -57.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -2.15%E -0.358%K -0.429%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -23.47%E -2.35%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-26 17:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -10.28%E -8.71%K -57.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -2.15%E -0.358%K -0.429%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -23.47%E -2.35%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-26 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.82%EV -7.99%E -6.61%K -38.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -5.41%E -0.932%K -1.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV -0.506%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 10:39
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -6.47%E -5.26%K -28.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -6.22%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -15.81%E -1.44%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 15:29
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -6.47%E -5.26%K -28.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -6.22%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -15.81%E -1.44%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -6.47%E -5.26%K -28.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -6.22%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -15.81%E -1.44%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 15:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -6.47%E -5.26%K -28.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -6.22%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -15.81%E -1.44%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 15:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -6.47%E -5.26%K -28.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -6.22%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -15.81%E -1.44%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 15:29
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -6.47%E -5.26%K -28.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -6.22%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -15.81%E -1.44%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 15:30
Casumo🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -6.47%E -5.26%K -28.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -6.22%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -15.81%E -1.44%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 15:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -6.47%E -5.26%K -28.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -6.22%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -15.81%E -1.44%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -6.47%E -5.26%K -28.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -6.22%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -15.81%E -1.44%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 15:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.94%EV -7.99%E -6.61%K -38.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.41%EV -8.67%E -1.55%K -1.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -8.16%E -0.680%K -0.742%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.86%EV -8.76%E -7.30%K -43.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.30%E -1.87%K -2.29%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -8.16%E -0.680%K -0.742%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-27 10:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.19%EV -7.23%E -5.93%K -32.88%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.83%EV -11.12%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.98%EV -11.99%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-28 02:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.75%EV -8.76%E -7.30%K -43.78%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.68%EV -11.12%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -8.16%E -0.680%K -0.742%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-27 17:18
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.63%EV -8.76%E -7.30%K -43.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -11.93%E -2.21%K -2.71%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -8.16%E -0.680%K -0.742%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-27 10:39
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.63%EV -8.76%E -7.30%K -43.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -11.93%E -2.21%K -2.71%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -8.16%E -0.680%K -0.742%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-27 10:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 73.79%EV -11.04%E -9.43%K -64.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.99%EV -21.72%E -4.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.22%EV -19.64%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-27 10:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.17I 85.47%NM 74.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.68%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.25%15.4%2026-03-26 21:54

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.60%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.40%7.0%2026-03-28 00:05