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Rhein-Neckar Löwen v HBW Balingen-Weilstetten
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Local)
Prediction 77.90%1.28fair odd
EV -7.30%
Edge -6.14%
Kelly -38.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.30%77.91%77.69%79.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.171.181.1987.72%85.32%84.75%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
HBW Balingen-Weilstetten (Visit)
Prediction 14.55%6.87fair odd
EV +1.87%
Edge +0.267%
Kelly +0.312%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.22%14.50%14.73%16.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.336.507.0018.52%15.80%15.38%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 7.55%13.24fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.142%
Kelly -0.153%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 13.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.07%7.59%7.58%8.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0012.0712.5013.0010.00%8.29%8.00%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Local): 77.90%; HBW Balingen-Weilstetten (Visit): 14.55%; Draw: 7.55%. For HBW Balingen-Weilstetten (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.87. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.87%.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +1.87%E +0.267%K +0.312%G +0.006% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -9.39%E -0.783%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -9.64%E -8.31%K -60.25%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.72%EV -2.50%E -0.372%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -1.84%E -0.142%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 10:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -7.30%E -6.14%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -5.41%E -0.832%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -5.62%E -0.449%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 06:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -8.08%E -6.85%K -44.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -5.41%E -0.832%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -5.62%E -0.449%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 13:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -8.08%E -6.85%K -44.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -5.41%E -0.832%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -5.62%E -0.449%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 13:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -8.08%E -6.85%K -44.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -5.41%E -0.832%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -5.62%E -0.449%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 13:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -8.08%E -6.85%K -44.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -5.41%E -0.832%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -5.62%E -0.449%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 13:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -8.08%E -6.85%K -44.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -5.41%E -0.832%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -5.62%E -0.449%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 13:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -8.08%E -6.85%K -44.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -5.41%E -0.832%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -5.62%E -0.449%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 13:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -8.08%E -6.85%K -44.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -5.41%E -0.832%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -5.62%E -0.449%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 13:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -8.08%E -6.85%K -44.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -5.41%E -0.832%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -5.62%E -0.449%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 13:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.72%EV -11.20%E -9.82%K -79.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -5.41%E -0.832%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV -9.39%E -0.783%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 06:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.93%EV -8.08%E -6.85%K -44.90%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -9.04%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.36%EV -5.62%E -0.449%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.84%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -9.04%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -9.39%E -0.783%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 09:56 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.60%EV -8.08%E -6.85%K -44.90%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.77%EV -9.77%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -9.39%E -0.783%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 06:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -12.68%E -2.11%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -9.39%E -0.783%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 06:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.21%EV -9.64%E -8.31%K -60.25%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -16.32%E -2.84%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.42%EV -20.72%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 13:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.25%EV -9.64%E -8.31%K -60.25%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.52%EV -17.05%E -2.99%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.23%EV -18.83%E -1.75%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 06:18 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 75.30%EV -10.42%E -9.06%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.04%EV -21.41%E -3.97%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -24.49%E -2.45%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-09-09 06:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.