Language:English
Rhein-Neckar Löwen v Bergischer HC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Local)
Prediction 76.71%1.30fair odd
EV -5.64%
Edge -4.59%
Kelly -24.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.56%76.53%76.80%78.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.201.201.2386.96%83.36%83.33%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bergischer HC (Visit)
Prediction 16.01%6.25fair odd
EV -0.723%
Edge -0.117%
Kelly -0.139%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.83%16.06%16.02%17.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.105.695.756.2019.61%17.57%17.39%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 7.28%13.74fair odd
EV +1.86%
Edge +0.133%
Kelly +0.143%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 14.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.57%7.41%7.18%8.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0011.9911.5014.0010.00%8.34%8.70%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Local): 76.71%; Bergischer HC (Visit): 16.01%; Draw: 7.28%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.74. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.86%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.95%E -6.62%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.93%E -0.654%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV +1.86%E +0.133%K +0.143%G +0.003% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 05:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.60%EV -10.25%E -8.76%K -60.28%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -0.723%E -0.117%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV +1.86%E +0.133%K +0.143%G +0.003% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -8.71%E -7.32%K -45.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -3.93%E -0.654%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.85%EV -1.78%E -0.132%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.12%EV -8.71%E -7.32%K -45.86%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -7.13%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -5.42%E -0.417%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.27%EV -9.48%E -8.03%K -52.67%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -7.13%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -5.42%E -0.417%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.27%EV -9.48%E -8.03%K -52.67%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -7.13%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -5.42%E -0.417%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -10.25%E -8.76%K -60.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -3.93%E -0.654%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -5.42%E -0.417%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 14:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.61%EV -9.48%E -8.03%K -52.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -11.93%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.95%EV -5.42%E -0.417%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.61%EV -9.48%E -8.03%K -52.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -11.93%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.95%EV -5.42%E -0.417%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.09%EV -10.25%E -8.76%K -60.28%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 16.64%EV -14.33%E -2.68%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.27%EV -10.87%E -0.888%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-08 16:48 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -7.93%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -12.69%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.86%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.93%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -16.33%E -1.42%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 09:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.86%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.93%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -16.33%E -1.42%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 09:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.86%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.93%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -16.33%E -1.42%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 09:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.86%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.93%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -16.33%E -1.42%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 09:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.86%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.93%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -16.33%E -1.42%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 09:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.86%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.93%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -16.33%E -1.42%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 09:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.86%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.93%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -16.33%E -1.42%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 09:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.86%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.93%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -16.33%E -1.42%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 09:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.86%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.93%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -16.33%E -1.42%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 09:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.56%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -15.93%E -3.04%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.97%EV -16.33%E -1.42%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 75.19%EV -11.78%E -10.24%K -78.54%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.95%EV -18.34%E -3.60%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.86%EV -19.97%E -1.82%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -7.95%E -6.62%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -11.93%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -27.24%E -2.72%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-08 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -7.95%E -6.62%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -11.93%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -27.24%E -2.72%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-08 16:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -7.95%E -6.62%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -11.93%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -27.24%E -2.72%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-08 16:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.02% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.06% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.91% | 14.9% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.44% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.44% | 176.9% | 2026-03-08 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.44% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.44% | 176.9% | 2026-03-08 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33% | 177.8% | 2026-03-08 13:50 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |