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MT Melsungen v SG BBM Bietigheim

2026-11-15 15:30 UTC — Handball-Bundesliga

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

MT Melsungen (Local)

Prediction 81.86%1.22fair odd
EV -7.50%
Edge -6.64%
Kelly -57.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.65%81.58%81.86%82.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.121.121.1391.74%89.44%89.29%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SG BBM Bietigheim (Visit)

Prediction 11.32%8.84fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -0.450%
Kelly -0.510%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.79%11.48%11.32%13.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.898.008.5015.38%12.68%12.50%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 6.83%14.65fair odd
EV +9.25%
Edge +0.578%
Kelly +0.617%
Growth +0.057%

assuming max odds 16.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.79%6.94%6.83%8.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.5013.9514.0016.009.52%7.17%7.14%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: MT Melsungen (Local): 81.86%; SG BBM Bietigheim (Visit): 11.32%; Draw: 6.83%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.65. 6 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 16.00, producing a positive expected value of +9.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.64%EV -8.32%E -7.43%K -69.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -9.48%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV +9.25%E +0.578%K +0.617%G +0.057%8.0%2026-11-10 20:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.64%EV -8.32%E -7.43%K -69.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -9.48%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV +9.25%E +0.578%K +0.617%G +0.057%8.0%2026-11-10 20:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.64%EV -8.32%E -7.43%K -69.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -9.48%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV +9.25%E +0.578%K +0.617%G +0.057%8.0%2026-11-10 20:20
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.64%EV -8.32%E -7.43%K -69.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -9.48%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV +9.25%E +0.578%K +0.617%G +0.057%8.0%2026-11-10 20:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.64%EV -8.32%E -7.43%K -69.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -9.48%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV +9.25%E +0.578%K +0.617%G +0.057%8.0%2026-11-10 23:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.64%EV -8.32%E -7.43%K -69.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -9.48%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV +9.25%E +0.578%K +0.617%G +0.057%8.0%2026-11-11 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.40%EV -7.50%E -6.64%K -57.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -3.82%E -0.450%K -0.510%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -4.41%E -0.315%K -0.339%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-10 20:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.40%EV -7.50%E -6.64%K -57.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -3.82%E -0.450%K -0.510%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -4.41%E -0.315%K -0.339%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-10 20:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.65%EV -9.14%E -8.23%K -83.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -3.82%E -0.450%K -0.510%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -4.41%E -0.315%K -0.339%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-10 20:24
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.32%EV -8.32%E -7.43%K -69.34%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.68%EV -11.74%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -11.23%E -0.864%K -0.936%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-10 20:20
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.32%EV -8.32%E -7.43%K -69.34%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.68%EV -11.74%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -11.23%E -0.864%K -0.936%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-10 20:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -8.32%E -7.43%K -69.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -15.14%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -11.23%E -0.864%K -0.936%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-10 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -8.32%E -7.43%K -69.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -9.48%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -18.06%E -1.51%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-10 20:20
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -8.32%E -7.43%K -69.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -9.48%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -18.06%E -1.51%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-10 20:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 79.95%EV -9.14%E -8.23%K -83.08%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.50%EV -19.66%E -2.77%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.55%EV -19.77%E -1.68%K -1.84%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-10 20:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 78.65%EV -10.78%E -9.89%K -119.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.19%EV -26.45%E -4.07%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.16%EV -28.30%E -2.70%K -2.98%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-10 20:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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