语言:简体中文
MT Melsungen v SC Magdeburg
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
MT Melsungen (主队)
预测 19.26%5.19公平赔率
EV +1.13%
优势 +0.215%
Kelly +0.265%
增长率 +0.003%
假设最高赔率为 5.25
博彩公司预测分布
17.30%19.21%19.25%20.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.154.864.905.2524.10%20.58%20.41%19.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
SC Magdeburg (客队)
预测 72.26%1.38公平赔率
EV -3.90%
优势 -2.93%
Kelly -11.82%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.33
博彩公司预测分布
70.60%72.25%72.29%74.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.221.261.271.3381.97%79.24%78.74%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 8.48%11.79公平赔率
EV +1.79%
优势 +0.149%
Kelly +0.163%
增长率 +0.003%
假设最高赔率为 12.00
博彩公司预测分布
7.66%8.54%8.46%9.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.5010.9811.0012.0010.53%9.11%9.09%8.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：MT Melsungen (主队)：19.26%；SC Magdeburg (客队)：72.26%；平局：8.48%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为11.79。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为12.00，对应+1.79%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV +1.13%E +0.215%K +0.265%G +0.003% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.44%EV -11.85%E -9.71%K -53.86%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -6.69%E -0.608%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-27 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV +1.13%E +0.215%K +0.265%G +0.003% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.44%EV -11.85%E -9.71%K -53.86%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -6.69%E -0.608%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-27 22:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.86%EV -2.72%E -0.540%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.61%EV -3.90%E -2.93%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.52%EV -15.17%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -3.69%E -0.738%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.23%EV -6.79%E -5.26%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +1.79%E +0.149%K +0.163%G +0.003% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -3.69%E -0.738%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -9.68%E -7.74%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -6.69%E -0.608%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -3.69%E -0.738%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -11.85%E -9.71%K -53.86%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -19.42%E -2.04%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -3.69%E -0.738%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -11.85%E -9.71%K -53.86%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -19.42%E -2.04%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -3.69%E -0.738%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -11.85%E -9.71%K -53.86%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -19.42%E -2.04%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.61%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.86%EV -7.51%E -5.87%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -2.45%E -0.213%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 08:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.61%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.86%EV -7.51%E -5.87%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -2.45%E -0.213%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 08:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.61%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.86%EV -7.51%E -5.87%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -2.45%E -0.213%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 08:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.61%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.86%EV -7.51%E -5.87%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -2.45%E -0.213%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 08:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.61%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.86%EV -7.51%E -5.87%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -2.45%E -0.213%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 08:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.61%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.86%EV -7.51%E -5.87%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -2.45%E -0.213%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 08:33 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.61%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.86%EV -7.51%E -5.87%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -2.45%E -0.213%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 08:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.61%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.86%EV -7.51%E -5.87%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -2.45%E -0.213%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 08:33 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.61%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.86%EV -7.51%E -5.87%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -2.45%E -0.213%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 08:33 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.92%EV -5.61%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.01%EV -8.24%E -6.49%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -2.45%E -0.213%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -5.61%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.57%EV -9.68%E -7.74%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV +1.79%E +0.149%K +0.163%G +0.003% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -9.47%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -8.24%E -6.49%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -6.69%E -0.608%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.74%EV -10.43%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.72%EV -7.51%E -5.87%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.54%EV -8.81%E -0.820%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 18:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.39%E -2.48%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.02%EV -8.96%E -7.11%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -6.69%E -0.608%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.39%E -2.48%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.02%EV -8.96%E -7.11%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -6.69%E -0.608%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.42%EV -17.17%E -3.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.80%EV -10.40%E -8.39%K -43.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.78%EV -15.17%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 20.93%EV -20.06%E -4.83%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 70.60%EV -11.13%E -9.05%K -48.37%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.47%EV -13.05%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-28 18:48 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.65% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 70.50% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 8.85% | 15.3% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 9.83% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 40.54% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 49.63% | 88.3% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 9.83% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 40.54% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 49.63% | 88.3% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 35.50% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 29.00% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 35.50% | 163.3% | 2026-02-28 18:35 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.74% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.26% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 18:10 |