语言:简体中文
MT Melsungen v GWD Minden
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
MT Melsungen (主队)
预测 86.52%1.16公平赔率
EV -5.69%
优势 -5.22%
Kelly -63.21%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.09
博彩公司预测分布
82.63%86.52%86.54%89.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.031.061.061.0997.09%93.93%94.34%91.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
GWD Minden (客队)
预测 8.32%12.03公平赔率
EV +24.74%
优势 +1.65%
Kelly +1.77%
增长率 +0.437%
假设最高赔率为 15.00
博彩公司预测分布
6.14%8.31%8.34%11.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.0010.729.8015.0012.50%9.33%10.20%6.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 5.16%19.38公平赔率
EV +13.52%
优势 +0.614%
Kelly +0.644%
增长率 +0.087%
假设最高赔率为 22.00
博彩公司预测分布
4.09%5.17%5.13%6.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
13.0017.7218.0022.007.69%5.64%5.56%4.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：MT Melsungen (主队)：86.52%；GWD Minden (客队)：8.32%；平局：5.16%。 对于“GWD Minden (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.03。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为15.00，对应+24.74%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.47%EV -10.88%E -10.56%K -362.67%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV +24.74%E +1.65%K +1.77%G +0.437% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV +8.36%E +0.398%K +0.418%G +0.035% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.47%EV -10.88%E -10.56%K -362.67%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV +24.74%E +1.65%K +1.77%G +0.437% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV +8.36%E +0.398%K +0.418%G +0.035% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.69%EV -9.15%E -8.71%K -182.99%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +16.42%E +1.17%K +1.26%G +0.207% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV +3.20%E +0.160%K +0.168%G +0.005% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.33%EV -10.01%E -9.63%K -250.37%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV +16.42%E +1.17%K +1.26%G +0.207% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV -7.12%E -0.396%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-09 08:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.89%EV -8.28%E -7.82%K -138.07%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV +3.95%E +0.316%K +0.343%G +0.014% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV +3.20%E +0.160%K +0.168%G +0.005% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 14:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.40%EV -8.28%E -7.82%K -138.07%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -0.209%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -1.96%E -0.103%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-10 06:03 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.27%EV -9.15%E -8.71%K -182.99%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -0.209%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.09%EV -7.12%E -0.396%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-09 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.45%EV -7.42%E -6.93%K -105.99%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -8.53%E -0.775%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -7.12%E -0.396%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.41%EV -9.15%E -8.71%K -182.99%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -8.53%E -0.775%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -12.28%E -0.723%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-09 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.41%EV -9.15%E -8.71%K -182.99%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -8.53%E -0.775%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -12.28%E -0.723%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-09 14:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -9.15%E -8.71%K -182.99%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -16.84%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -22.60%E -1.51%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -9.15%E -8.71%K -182.99%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -16.84%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -22.60%E -1.51%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -9.15%E -8.71%K -182.99%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -16.84%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -22.60%E -1.51%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.67%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.92%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.53%EV -20.17%E -2.10%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 15.75I 6.35%NM 5.81%EV -18.73%E -1.19%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-10 15:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 86.49%EV -10.01%E -9.63%K -250.37%G +0.000% | 9.55I 10.47%NM 9.42%EV -20.58%E -2.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.09%EV +13.52%E +0.614%K +0.644%G +0.087% | 11.2% | 2026-04-10 17:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.09%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -21.00%E -2.21%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.15%EV -7.12%E -0.396%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 07:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.09%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -21.00%E -2.21%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.15%EV -7.12%E -0.396%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 07:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.09%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -21.00%E -2.21%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.15%EV -7.12%E -0.396%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 07:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.09%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -21.00%E -2.21%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.15%EV -7.12%E -0.396%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 07:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.09%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -21.00%E -2.21%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.15%EV -7.12%E -0.396%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 07:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.09%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -21.00%E -2.21%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.15%EV -7.12%E -0.396%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 07:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.09%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -21.00%E -2.21%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.15%EV -7.12%E -0.396%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 07:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.09%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -21.00%E -2.21%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.15%EV -7.12%E -0.396%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 07:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.09%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -21.00%E -2.21%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.15%EV -7.12%E -0.396%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 07:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 83.17%EV -10.01%E -9.63%K -250.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.18%EV -29.32%E -3.45%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.65%EV -32.92%E -2.53%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-09 08:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 82.63%EV -7.42%E -6.93%K -105.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.05%EV -33.47%E -4.18%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.32%EV -27.76%E -1.98%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-09 07:54 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 83.47% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.09% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.43% | 15.2% | 2026-04-09 14:10 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.60% | 7.56I 13.23%NM 12.40% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 15:50 |