语言:简体中文
MT Melsungen v Füchse Berlin
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
MT Melsungen (主队)
预测 17.22%5.81公平赔率
EV +32.59%
优势 +4.23%
Kelly +4.86%
增长率 +1.59%
假设最高赔率为 7.70
博彩公司预测分布
12.35%16.57%17.12%20.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.405.505.507.7022.73%18.18%18.18%12.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
Füchse Berlin (客队)
预测 74.61%1.34公平赔率
EV -6.74%
优势 -5.39%
Kelly -26.94%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.25
博彩公司预测分布
72.03%75.84%74.64%84.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.131.211.211.2588.50%82.80%82.64%80.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 8.17%12.24公平赔率
EV +120.56%
优势 +4.47%
Kelly +4.64%
增长率 +5.59%
假设最高赔率为 27.00
博彩公司预测分布
3.52%7.59%8.24%8.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
10.0012.1311.8827.0010.00%8.24%8.42%3.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：MT Melsungen (主队)：17.22%；Füchse Berlin (客队)：74.61%；平局：8.17%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.24。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为27.00，对应+120.56%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.35%EV +32.59%E +4.23%K +4.86%G +1.59% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.13%EV -15.69%E -13.88%K -120.69%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.52%EV +120.56%E +4.47%K +4.64%G +5.59% | 5.2% | 2026-06-04 11:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV +6.76%E +1.09%K +1.30%G +0.088% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.60%EV -12.70%E -10.86%K -74.73%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV +14.37%E +1.03%K +1.11%G +0.159% | 8.7% | 2026-06-04 17:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -0.127%E -0.022%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -9.72%E -8.03%K -46.29%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -1.97%E -0.164%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-04 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -0.127%E -0.022%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -9.72%E -8.03%K -46.29%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -1.97%E -0.164%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-04 17:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -0.127%E -0.022%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -9.72%E -8.03%K -46.29%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -1.97%E -0.164%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-04 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -0.127%E -0.022%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -9.72%E -8.03%K -46.29%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -1.97%E -0.164%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-04 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -0.127%E -0.022%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -9.72%E -8.03%K -46.29%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -1.97%E -0.164%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-04 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -0.127%E -0.022%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -9.72%E -8.03%K -46.29%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -1.97%E -0.164%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-04 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -0.127%E -0.022%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -9.72%E -8.03%K -46.29%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -1.97%E -0.164%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-04 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -0.127%E -0.022%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -9.72%E -8.03%K -46.29%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -1.97%E -0.164%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-04 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -0.127%E -0.022%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -9.72%E -8.03%K -46.29%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -1.97%E -0.164%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-04 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -24.23%E -5.51%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.03%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -1.97%E -0.164%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-04 16:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -24.23%E -5.51%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.03%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -1.97%E -0.164%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-04 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.12%EV -7.88%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.08%EV -8.97%E -7.36%K -40.79%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 7.80%EV -4.01%E -0.342%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-04 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.56%EV -3.57%E -0.638%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.38%EV -8.23%E -6.69%K -35.77%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -6.06%E -0.527%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-04 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.88%EV -8.23%E -6.69%K -35.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -10.14%E -0.922%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-04 17:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.01%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.65%EV -8.23%E -6.69%K -35.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -10.14%E -0.922%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-04 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -10.46%E -2.01%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.32%EV -8.97%E -7.36%K -40.79%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -10.14%E -0.922%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-04 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -10.46%E -2.01%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.32%EV -8.97%E -7.36%K -40.79%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -10.14%E -0.922%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-04 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -10.47%E -8.72%K -52.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -10.14%E -0.922%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-04 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.90%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.12%EV -10.47%E -8.72%K -52.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -10.14%E -0.922%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-04 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.90%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.12%EV -10.47%E -8.72%K -52.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -10.14%E -0.922%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-04 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.90%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.12%EV -10.47%E -8.72%K -52.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -10.14%E -0.922%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-04 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.97%EV -13.45%E -11.60%K -84.07%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.01%EV -10.14%E -0.922%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-06-04 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.93I 20.28%NM 17.89%EV -15.11%E -3.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.50%EV -10.47%E -8.72%K -52.33%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.61%EV -16.27%E -1.59%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-04 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -15.62%E -3.19%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.27%EV -10.47%E -8.72%K -52.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -18.31%E -1.83%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-04 17:39 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.42% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 72.75% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 8.83% | 15.5% | 2026-06-04 17:50 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.22I 19.16%NM 17.92% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.08% | 6.9% | 2026-06-04 16:30 |