语言:简体中文
HSV Hamburg v TVB Stuttgart
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
HSV Hamburg (主队)
预测 63.39%1.58公平赔率
EV -6.18%
优势 -4.17%
Kelly -12.87%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.48
博彩公司预测分布
61.59%63.34%63.25%64.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.451.451.4871.43%69.16%68.97%67.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
TVB Stuttgart (客队)
预测 27.01%3.70公平赔率
EV -5.47%
优势 -1.56%
Kelly -2.19%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.50
博彩公司预测分布
26.12%27.01%27.06%28.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.353.353.5032.79%29.87%29.85%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 9.60%10.42公平赔率
EV -4.02%
优势 -0.402%
Kelly -0.446%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 10.00
博彩公司预测分布
9.17%9.65%9.68%10.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.509.119.0010.0011.76%10.98%11.11%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HSV Hamburg (主队)：63.39%；TVB Stuttgart (客队)：27.01%；平局：9.60%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.42。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为10.00，期望值为-4.02%，未产生正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.26%EV -6.18%E -4.17%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -9.52%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -13.62%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 07:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.26%EV -6.18%E -4.17%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -9.52%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -13.62%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 07:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.26%EV -6.18%E -4.17%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -9.52%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -13.62%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 07:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.26%EV -6.18%E -4.17%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -9.52%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -13.62%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 07:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.26%EV -6.18%E -4.17%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -9.52%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -13.62%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 07:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.26%EV -6.18%E -4.17%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -9.52%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -13.62%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 07:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.26%EV -6.18%E -4.17%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -9.52%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -13.62%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 07:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.26%EV -6.18%E -4.17%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -9.52%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -13.62%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 07:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.26%EV -6.18%E -4.17%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -9.52%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -13.62%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 07:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.32%EV -6.81%E -4.63%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -4.02%E -0.402%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.80%EV -7.45%E -5.10%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.45%EV -9.79%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.75%EV -9.78%E -1.04%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.82%EV -8.08%E -5.57%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -8.82%E -0.928%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 12:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.63%EV -8.08%E -5.57%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -4.02%E -0.402%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.88%EV -8.08%E -5.57%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.50%EV -7.86%E -0.818%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 09:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.88%EV -8.08%E -5.57%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.50%EV -7.86%E -0.818%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 09:11 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.15%EV -8.71%E -6.05%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV -13.62%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 09:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.61%EV -9.98%E -7.03%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -4.02%E -0.402%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.23%EV -9.98%E -7.03%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.05%EV -14.92%E -4.74%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 9.71%EV -12.66%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-03 12:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.08%EV -9.98%E -7.03%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -13.57%E -4.24%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.37%EV -18.42%E -2.17%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-02 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.80%EV -11.25%E -8.04%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.92%EV -13.62%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.80%EV -11.25%E -8.04%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.92%EV -13.62%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.43%EV -11.25%E -8.04%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.45%EV -18.42%E -2.17%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.43%EV -11.25%E -8.04%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.45%EV -18.42%E -2.17%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.43%EV -11.25%E -8.04%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.45%EV -18.42%E -2.17%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.59%EV -11.25%E -8.04%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.27%EV -17.62%E -5.78%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.14%EV -18.42%E -2.17%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.80% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.37% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 9.83% | 15.6% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 08:50 |