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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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HSV Hamburg v TVB Stuttgart

开赛时间： 2026-09-02 17:01 UTC

最终结果： HSV Hamburg 34–34 TVB Stuttgart

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

HSV Hamburg (主队)

预测 50.15%1.99公平赔率
EV -4.71%
优势 -2.48%
Kelly -5.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.90

博彩公司预测分布
48.24%50.77%50.16%56.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.661.771.761.9060.24%56.40%56.82%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

TVB Stuttgart (客队)

预测 37.88%2.64公平赔率
EV +7.95%
优势 +2.79%
Kelly +4.29%
增长率 +0.341%

假设最高赔率为 2.85

博彩公司预测分布
33.08%37.56%37.77%41.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.232.432.422.8544.84%41.15%41.24%35.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 11.97%8.35公平赔率
EV +13.72%
优势 +1.44%
Kelly +1.61%
增长率 +0.221%

假设最高赔率为 9.50

博彩公司预测分布
9.75%11.67%12.07%12.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.008.378.259.5014.29%11.94%12.12%10.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HSV Hamburg (主队)：50.15%；TVB Stuttgart (客队)：37.88%；平局：11.97%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.35。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.50，对应+13.72%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.79%EV -16.74%E -10.09%K -25.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.08%EV +7.95%E +2.79%K +4.29%G +0.341%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.14%EV +11.32%E +1.22%K +1.36%G +0.154%6.1%2026-09-02 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -11.23%E -6.34%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -5.31%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.91%EV -12.23%E -6.99%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.34%EV -6.07%E -2.45%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV +13.72%E +1.44%K +1.61%G +0.221%8.0%2026-09-02 15:40
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.91%EV -12.23%E -6.99%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.34%EV -6.07%E -2.45%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV +13.72%E +1.44%K +1.61%G +0.221%8.0%2026-09-02 15:38
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.91%EV -12.23%E -6.99%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.34%EV -6.07%E -2.45%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV +13.72%E +1.44%K +1.61%G +0.221%8.0%2026-09-02 15:40
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.91%EV -12.23%E -6.99%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.34%EV -6.07%E -2.45%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV +13.72%E +1.44%K +1.61%G +0.221%8.0%2026-09-02 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.91%EV -12.23%E -6.99%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.34%EV -6.07%E -2.45%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV +13.72%E +1.44%K +1.61%G +0.221%8.0%2026-09-02 15:40
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.91%EV -12.23%E -6.99%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.34%EV -6.07%E -2.45%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV +13.72%E +1.44%K +1.61%G +0.221%8.0%2026-09-02 15:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.91%EV -12.23%E -6.99%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.34%EV -6.07%E -2.45%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV +13.72%E +1.44%K +1.61%G +0.221%8.0%2026-09-02 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.91%EV -12.23%E -6.99%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.34%EV -6.07%E -2.45%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV +13.72%E +1.44%K +1.61%G +0.221%8.0%2026-09-02 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.29%EV -7.72%E -4.19%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.77%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.94%EV -7.23%E -0.933%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.70%EV -7.72%E -4.19%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 16:40
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%EV -9.72%E -5.40%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.69%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-02 16:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -9.72%E -5.40%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.89%EV -9.86%E -4.14%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-02 14:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -9.72%E -5.40%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.89%EV -9.86%E -4.14%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-02 14:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -9.72%E -5.40%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.89%EV -9.86%E -4.14%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-02 14:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.25%EV -11.73%E -6.66%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.63%EV -10.99%E -4.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.12%EV -12.62%E -1.73%K -2.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-02 16:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.21%EV -11.73%E -6.66%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.60%EV -10.99%E -4.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.19%EV -13.22%E -1.82%K -2.11%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-02 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.29%EV -15.74%E -9.37%K -23.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.38%EV -10.99%E -4.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.33%EV +1.75%E +0.206%K +0.233%G +0.004%13.8%2026-09-02 15:40
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.03%EV -9.72%E -5.40%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.37%EV -12.89%E -5.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -16.21%E -2.32%K -2.70%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-02 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.03%EV -9.72%E -5.40%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.37%EV -12.89%E -5.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -16.21%E -2.32%K -2.70%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-02 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.24%EV -4.71%E -2.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.10%EV -15.54%E -6.97%K -12.63%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.66%EV +2.94%E +0.342%K +0.387%G +0.011%9.1%2026-09-02 16:20
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 49.87%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.40%15.2%2026-09-02 16:40

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%5.3%2026-09-02 16:50