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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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HSV Hamburg v Frisch Auf Göppingen

开赛时间： 2026-05-25 18:00 UTC

最终结果： HSV Hamburg 28–34 Frisch Auf Göppingen

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

HSV Hamburg (主队)

预测 56.88%1.76公平赔率
EV -2.73%
优势 -1.60%
Kelly -3.85%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布
53.70%57.39%56.85%63.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.641.621.7166.67%61.06%61.73%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Frisch Auf Göppingen (客队)

预测 32.76%3.05公平赔率
EV +14.65%
优势 +4.19%
Kelly +5.86%
增长率 +0.858%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
27.15%32.26%32.83%35.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.722.653.5040.82%36.82%37.74%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 10.36%9.65公平赔率
EV +3.61%
优势 +0.361%
Kelly +0.401%
增长率 +0.014%

假设最高赔率为 10.00

博彩公司预测分布
9.50%10.35%10.32%11.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.008.448.0010.0012.50%11.85%12.50%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HSV Hamburg (主队)：56.88%；Frisch Auf Göppingen (客队)：32.76%；平局：10.36%。 对于“Frisch Auf Göppingen (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.05。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.50，对应+14.65%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.35%EV -14.68%E -9.78%K -29.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV +14.65%E +4.19%K +5.86%G +0.858%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.61%E +0.361%K +0.401%G +0.014%5.2%2026-05-25 12:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -10.69%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.37%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -6.75%E -0.750%K -0.844%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 15:28
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.30%EV -8.99%E -5.62%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 32.63%EV -7.95%E -2.83%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.07%EV -5.71%E -0.628%K -0.705%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-25 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -6.75%E -0.750%K -0.844%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 15:30
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.29%EV -10.69%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.12%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.58%EV -11.93%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-25 15:30
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.41%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.03%EV -9.92%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.56%EV -10.89%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-25 15:30
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.41%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.03%EV -9.92%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.56%EV -10.89%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-25 15:30
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.59%EV -10.69%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -9.92%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.11%E -2.14%K -2.44%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-25 13:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.59%EV -10.69%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -9.92%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.11%E -2.14%K -2.44%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-25 13:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.59%EV -10.69%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -9.92%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.11%E -2.14%K -2.44%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-25 13:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.30%EV -10.69%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.98%EV -12.21%E -4.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.71%EV -14.52%E -1.76%K -2.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-25 17:50
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.71%EV -13.20%E -4.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -17.11%E -2.14%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 15:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.71%EV -13.20%E -4.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -17.11%E -2.14%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.71%EV -13.20%E -4.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -17.11%E -2.14%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.71%EV -13.20%E -4.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -17.11%E -2.14%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 15:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.71%EV -13.20%E -4.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -17.11%E -2.14%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.71%EV -13.20%E -4.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -17.11%E -2.14%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 15:20
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.71%EV -13.20%E -4.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -17.11%E -2.14%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.71%EV -13.20%E -4.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -17.11%E -2.14%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 15:19
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.71%EV -13.20%E -4.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -17.11%E -2.14%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.56%EV -3.30%E -1.94%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.67%EV -14.83%E -5.71%K -9.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -1.57%E -0.165%K -0.185%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 09:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.61%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.44%EV -14.83%E -5.71%K -9.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -6.75%E -0.750%K -0.844%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-25 10:29
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.61%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.44%EV -14.83%E -5.71%K -9.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -6.75%E -0.750%K -0.844%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-25 10:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.89%EV -7.28%E -4.47%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -18.11%E -7.24%K -12.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.98%EV -17.11%E -2.14%K -2.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.70%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.94%EV -19.75%E -8.06%K -13.62%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.36%EV -11.93%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-25 09:40
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 56.01%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.14%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.85%15.2%2026-05-25 15:30

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%5.9%2026-05-25 14:40