语言:简体中文
HSV Hamburg v Bergischer HC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
HSV Hamburg (主队)
预测 72.63%1.38公平赔率
EV -7.76%
优势 -6.11%
Kelly -28.73%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.27
博彩公司预测分布
71.27%72.73%72.69%74.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.211.251.251.2782.64%79.97%79.68%78.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
Bergischer HC (客队)
预测 19.07%5.25公平赔率
EV +0.092%
优势 +0.017%
Kelly +0.022%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.25
博彩公司预测分布
17.61%18.99%19.02%20.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.354.925.005.2522.99%20.34%20.00%19.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 8.30%12.05公平赔率
EV +3.77%
优势 +0.302%
Kelly +0.328%
增长率 +0.012%
假设最高赔率为 12.50
博彩公司预测分布
7.42%8.29%8.29%8.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
10.0010.7710.5012.5010.00%9.28%9.52%8.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HSV Hamburg (主队)：72.63%；Bergischer HC (客队)：19.07%；平局：8.30%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.05。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为12.50，对应+3.77%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.76%EV -9.93%E -8.01%K -41.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.83%EV -0.862%E -0.166%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV +3.77%E +0.302%K +0.328%G +0.012% | 7.9% | 2026-03-26 17:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.57%EV -9.21%E -7.37%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -0.378%E -0.031%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-25 09:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.98%EV -9.21%E -7.37%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV +0.092%E +0.017%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -8.68%E -0.789%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-26 16:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -9.21%E -7.37%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -4.67%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -8.68%E -0.789%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-26 17:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -7.76%E -6.11%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.39%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -8.68%E -0.789%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-26 16:23 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.78%EV -9.21%E -7.37%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -8.68%E -0.789%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-26 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.02%EV -8.48%E -6.73%K -32.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -12.30%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -8.68%E -0.789%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-26 17:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.02%EV -8.48%E -6.73%K -32.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -12.30%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -8.68%E -0.789%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-26 17:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -11.39%E -9.33%K -51.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -4.67%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -8.68%E -0.789%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-26 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -11.39%E -9.33%K -51.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -4.67%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -8.68%E -0.789%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-26 15:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.83%EV -12.11%E -10.01%K -57.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -12.30%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.01%EV -8.68%E -0.789%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-26 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.11%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -4.67%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.80%EV -12.83%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-25 09:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.11%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -4.67%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.80%EV -12.83%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-25 09:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.11%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -4.67%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.80%EV -12.83%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-25 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.11%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -4.67%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.80%EV -12.83%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-25 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.11%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -4.67%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.80%EV -12.83%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-25 09:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.11%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -4.67%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.80%EV -12.83%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-25 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.11%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -4.67%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.80%EV -12.83%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-25 09:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.11%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -4.67%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.80%EV -12.83%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-25 09:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.11%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -4.67%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.80%EV -12.83%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-25 09:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.27%EV -9.93%E -8.01%K -41.40%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.32%EV -17.07%E -3.92%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.42%EV -12.83%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-26 17:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -11.39%E -9.33%K -51.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -4.67%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -16.98%E -1.70%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-26 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -11.39%E -9.33%K -51.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -4.67%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -16.98%E -1.70%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-26 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -11.39%E -9.33%K -51.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -4.67%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -16.98%E -1.70%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-26 15:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 70.63% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.68% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.69% | 15.1% | 2026-03-26 17:25 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.47% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.53% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 17:05 |