The School of Odds
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HSG Wetzlar v VfL Gummersbach

2026-09-20 14:30 UTC — Handball-Bundesliga

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HSG Wetzlar (Local)

Prediction 11.56%8.65fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.204%
Kelly -0.231%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.95%11.70%11.56%13.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.537.508.5015.38%13.29%13.33%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VfL Gummersbach (Visit)

Prediction 81.16%1.23fair odd
EV -8.29%
Edge -7.34%
Kelly -63.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.65%81.24%81.16%82.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.121.131.1391.74%89.23%88.50%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 7.28%13.73fair odd
EV +9.25%
Edge +0.617%
Kelly +0.661%
Growth +0.061%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.12%7.06%7.28%8.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.5012.2012.0015.009.52%8.20%8.33%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: HSG Wetzlar (Local): 11.56%; VfL Gummersbach (Visit): 81.16%; Draw: 7.28%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.73. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 15.00, producing a positive expected value of +9.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV -5.20%E -0.635%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.69%EV -9.92%E -8.93%K -90.15%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV +9.25%E +0.617%K +0.661%G +0.061%9.0%2026-09-14 09:10
Winamax (DE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -1.74%E -0.204%K -0.231%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.40%EV -8.29%E -7.34%K -63.80%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +1.97%E +0.141%K +0.151%G +0.003%7.4%2026-09-14 09:50
Marathon Bet🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 11.28%EV -6.36%E -0.785%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.56%EV -9.11%E -8.13%K -75.88%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.16%EV -7.14%E -0.560%K -0.607%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 07:29
Unibet (NL)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.33%EV -8.29%E -7.34%K -63.80%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -12.60%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 08:55
Unibet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.33%EV -8.29%E -7.34%K -63.80%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -12.60%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 08:55
Grosvenor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.33%EV -8.29%E -7.34%K -63.80%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -12.60%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 09:01
Virgin Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.33%EV -8.29%E -7.34%K -63.80%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -12.60%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 09:01
LiveScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.33%EV -8.29%E -7.34%K -63.80%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -12.60%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 09:00
Casumo🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.33%EV -8.29%E -7.34%K -63.80%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -12.60%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 09:00
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.33%EV -8.29%E -7.34%K -63.80%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -12.60%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.33%EV -8.29%E -7.34%K -63.80%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -12.60%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 09:00
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 80.75%EV -10.73%E -9.75%K -107.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.40%EV -12.60%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 09:50
Betclic (FR)🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 12.50%EV -17.92%E -2.52%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 79.95%EV -9.92%E -8.93%K -90.15%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.55%EV -14.42%E -1.23%K -1.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-14 09:50
PMU (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -19.08%E -2.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 79.40%EV -9.92%E -8.93%K -90.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.01%EV -19.88%E -1.81%K -1.99%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-14 08:55
Winamax (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.19%EV -24.86%E -3.82%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 78.65%EV -11.54%E -10.59%K -128.22%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.16%EV -23.52%E -2.24%K -2.48%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-14 09:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.