语言:简体中文
HSG Wetzlar v THW Kiel
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
HSG Wetzlar (主队)
预测 24.93%4.01公平赔率
EV -0.281%
优势 -0.070%
Kelly -0.094%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.00
博彩公司预测分布
22.23%24.91%25.16%25.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.733.794.0029.41%26.78%26.39%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
THW Kiel (客队)
预测 65.79%1.52公平赔率
EV -7.24%
优势 -5.14%
Kelly -17.66%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.41
博彩公司预测分布
64.47%65.75%65.60%68.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.371.381.4176.92%72.95%72.46%70.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 9.28%10.77公平赔率
EV -2.52%
优势 -0.240%
Kelly -0.266%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 10.50
博彩公司预测分布
8.75%9.34%9.24%9.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.009.7410.0010.5011.11%10.26%10.00%9.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HSG Wetzlar (主队)：24.93%；THW Kiel (客队)：65.79%；平局：9.28%。 对于“HSG Wetzlar (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.01。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.00，期望值为-0.281%，未产生正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -0.281%E -0.070%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.41%EV -14.48%E -11.14%K -48.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -11.81%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -0.281%E -0.070%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.41%EV -14.48%E -11.14%K -48.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -11.81%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -4.02%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.83%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -7.16%E -0.716%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.62%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.16%E -0.716%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.62%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.16%E -0.716%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.62%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.16%E -0.716%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.62%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.16%E -0.716%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.62%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.16%E -0.716%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.62%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.16%E -0.716%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.62%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.16%E -0.716%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.62%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.16%E -0.716%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.62%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.16%E -0.716%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.07%EV -9.87%E -7.21%K -26.68%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -2.52%E -0.240%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.27%EV -5.77%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.27%EV -8.09%E -0.817%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.41%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -11.81%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.06%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -16.45%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-02 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.06%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -16.45%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-02 17:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.06%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -16.45%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-02 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.70%EV -7.24%E -5.14%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.16%E -0.716%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -9.01%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.64%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.16%E -0.716%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.41%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -7.16%E -0.716%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.25%EV -12.50%E -9.40%K -37.89%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.27%EV -11.81%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -11.50%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.22%EV -8.56%E -6.16%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.25%EV -9.02%E -0.921%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -11.50%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.22%EV -8.56%E -6.16%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.25%EV -9.02%E -0.921%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 25.89%EV -14.74%E -4.31%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.64%EV -9.87%E -7.21%K -26.68%G +0.000% | 9.35I 10.70%NM 9.47%EV -13.20%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-02 17:53 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -15.24%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.47%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.74%EV -16.45%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-02 17:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.24% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.14% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.62% | 15.5% | 2026-05-02 17:40 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 17:30 |