The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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HSG Wetzlar v SG BBM Bietigheim

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 14:31 UTC

Final: HSG Wetzlar 33–35 SG BBM Bietigheim

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HSG Wetzlar (Local)

Prediction 62.13%1.61fair odd
EV -6.81%
Edge -4.54%
Kelly -13.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.01%62.29%62.05%65.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.451.441.5072.46%69.09%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SG BBM Bietigheim (Visit)

Prediction 28.16%3.55fair odd
EV +5.60%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +2.04%
Growth +0.114%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.36%27.98%28.23%29.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.343.303.7532.26%29.93%30.30%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 9.71%10.30fair odd
EV +1.98%
Edge +0.189%
Kelly +0.209%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 10.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.06%9.73%9.72%10.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.509.499.5010.5011.76%10.53%10.53%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HSG Wetzlar (Local): 62.13%; SG BBM Bietigheim (Visit): 28.16%; Draw: 9.71%. For SG BBM Bietigheim (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.60%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.58%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV +5.60%E +1.49%K +2.04%G +0.114%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.06%EV +1.98%E +0.189%K +0.209%G +0.004%5.2%2026-08-30 09:00
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.29%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -1.44%E -0.411%K -0.576%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -2.87%E -0.287%K -0.319%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.29%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -1.44%E -0.411%K -0.576%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -2.87%E -0.287%K -0.319%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 14:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.29%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -1.44%E -0.411%K -0.576%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -2.87%E -0.287%K -0.319%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 14:09
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.45%EV -11.16%E -7.80%K -25.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -1.44%E -0.411%K -0.576%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -2.87%E -0.287%K -0.319%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 14:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.45%EV -11.16%E -7.80%K -25.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -1.44%E -0.411%K -0.576%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -2.87%E -0.287%K -0.319%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 14:09
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.45%EV -11.16%E -7.80%K -25.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -1.44%E -0.411%K -0.576%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -2.87%E -0.287%K -0.319%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.45%EV -11.16%E -7.80%K -25.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -1.44%E -0.411%K -0.576%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -2.87%E -0.287%K -0.319%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 14:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.45%EV -11.16%E -7.80%K -25.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -1.44%E -0.411%K -0.576%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -2.87%E -0.287%K -0.319%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 14:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.85%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -7.73%E -0.814%K -0.909%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.80%EV -9.29%E -6.37%K -20.20%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.45%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.75%EV -8.70%E -0.926%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.64%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -2.87%E -0.287%K -0.319%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.49%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -7.73%E -0.814%K -0.909%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 14:09
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.64%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -12.58%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.63%EV -14.26%E -10.34%K -37.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.76%EV -12.58%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 14:09
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.75%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -17.44%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.75%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -17.44%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.75%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -17.44%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 14:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.26%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.57%EV -6.76%E -0.704%K -0.786%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 14:09
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.01%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.67%EV -8.70%E -0.926%K -1.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 14:09
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.01%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.67%EV -8.70%E -0.926%K -1.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.59%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.05I 11.05%NM 9.80%EV -12.10%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.53%EV -11.78%E -8.30%K -28.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.28%EV -17.44%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-30 14:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 61.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.08%15.4%2026-08-30 14:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%6.5%2026-08-30 14:05