Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.25
assuming max odds 1.28
assuming max odds 12.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HSG Wetzlar (Local): 19.15%; SC Magdeburg (Visit): 72.51%; Draw: 8.34%. For HSG Wetzlar (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.533%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV +0.533%E +0.101%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.98%EV -9.37%E -7.49%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -8.21%E -0.747%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-07 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -2.34%E -0.459%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.60%EV -9.37%E -7.49%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -8.21%E -0.747%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -2.34%E -0.459%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.60%EV -9.37%E -7.49%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -8.21%E -0.747%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -2.34%E -0.459%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.60%EV -9.37%E -7.49%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -8.21%E -0.747%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -2.34%E -0.459%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.60%EV -9.37%E -7.49%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -8.21%E -0.747%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -2.34%E -0.459%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.60%EV -9.37%E -7.49%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -8.21%E -0.747%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -2.34%E -0.459%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.60%EV -9.37%E -7.49%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -8.21%E -0.747%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -2.34%E -0.459%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.60%EV -9.37%E -7.49%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -8.21%E -0.747%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -2.34%E -0.459%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.60%EV -9.37%E -7.49%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -8.21%E -0.747%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -2.34%E -0.459%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.60%EV -9.37%E -7.49%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -8.21%E -0.747%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -4.25%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -9.37%E -7.49%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -8.21%E -0.747%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-07 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -4.25%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.31%EV -11.54%E -9.46%K -52.46%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV +0.131%E +0.011%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-06 11:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -4.25%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.31%EV -11.54%E -9.46%K -52.46%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV +0.131%E +0.011%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-06 11:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -4.25%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -11.54%E -9.46%K -52.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -16.56%E -1.66%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-06 08:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -4.25%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -11.54%E -9.46%K -52.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -16.56%E -1.66%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-06 08:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -4.25%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -11.54%E -9.46%K -52.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -16.56%E -1.66%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-06 08:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -6.17%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.57%EV -9.37%E -7.49%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV +0.131%E +0.011%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-07 11:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.90%EV -7.13%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.76%EV -8.64%E -6.86%K -33.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -8.21%E -0.747%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-07 01:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.57%EV -7.19%E -5.62%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.08%EV -4.04%E -0.351%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-07 12:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.78%EV -9.37%E -7.49%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -8.21%E -0.747%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-07 12:08 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.85%EV -12.99%E -10.83%K -64.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.74%EV -16.56%E -1.66%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.00%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -7.92%E -6.23%K -29.32%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -8.21%E -0.747%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-07 12:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.02%EV -8.64%E -6.86%K -33.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -8.21%E -0.747%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-07 12:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.02%EV -8.64%E -6.86%K -33.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -8.21%E -0.747%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-07 12:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.37I 22.88%NM 20.24%EV -16.32%E -3.73%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.33%EV -10.09%E -8.14%K -42.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.42%EV -12.38%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-07 12:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.42%EV -17.66%E -4.11%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.80%EV -10.09%E -8.14%K -42.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.78%EV -16.56%E -1.66%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-07 12:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.65% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 70.50% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 8.85% | 15.3% | 2026-06-07 12:10 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.38% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.62% | 7.4% | 2026-06-07 11:00 |