Language:English
HC Erlangen v Rhein-Neckar Löwen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
HC Erlangen (Local)
Prediction 30.19%3.31fair odd
EV -0.378%
Edge -0.115%
Kelly -0.164%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.17%30.37%30.19%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.763.093.133.3036.23%32.33%32.00%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Visit)
Prediction 59.03%1.69fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -7.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.59%58.97%58.97%62.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.521.531.6269.44%65.61%65.36%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 10.78%9.27fair odd
EV +2.44%
Edge +0.257%
Kelly +0.287%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 9.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.71%10.65%10.85%11.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.008.448.509.5012.50%11.85%11.76%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HC Erlangen (Local): 30.19%; Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Visit): 59.03%; Draw: 10.78%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.44%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -11.46%E -7.64%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV +2.44%E +0.257%K +0.287%G +0.007% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 14:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.22%EV -16.68%E -6.04%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.59%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -2.95%E -0.328%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 14:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.67%EV -9.10%E -5.91%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.69%EV -7.26%E -0.845%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-05 14:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.87%EV -7.93%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.54%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.59%EV -7.26%E -0.845%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.87%EV -7.93%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.54%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.59%EV -7.26%E -0.845%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 14:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -7.92%E -5.07%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -8.34%E -0.981%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -8.34%E -0.981%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -8.34%E -0.981%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 08:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -8.34%E -0.981%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -8.34%E -0.981%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 08:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -8.34%E -0.981%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -8.34%E -0.981%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -8.34%E -0.981%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 08:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -8.34%E -0.981%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -8.34%E -0.981%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 08:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.39%EV -6.74%E -4.26%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -8.34%E -0.981%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 14:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.44%EV -8.51%E -5.49%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -8.34%E -0.981%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 14:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -0.378%E -0.115%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -15.00%E -10.42%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -8.34%E -0.981%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-04 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -0.378%E -0.115%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -15.00%E -10.42%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -8.34%E -0.981%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-04 23:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.17%EV -11.55%E -3.94%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -11.46%E -7.64%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 10.91%EV -12.66%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-05 14:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.35%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -13.73%E -1.72%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 14:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -13.06%E -4.53%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -13.73%E -1.72%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-05 14:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -13.06%E -4.53%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -13.73%E -1.72%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-05 14:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -13.06%E -4.53%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -13.73%E -1.72%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-05 14:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.34%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.66%EV -11.46%E -7.64%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.00%EV -13.73%E -1.72%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-05 14:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.70%EV -7.93%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.36%EV -14.41%E -9.94%K -32.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.94%EV -13.73%E -1.72%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-05 08:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 30.31% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.57% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.11% | 15.4% | 2026-04-05 14:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 13:50 |