The School of Odds
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HBW Balingen-Weilstetten v TSV Hannover-Burgdorf

Kickoff: 2026-10-19 17:00 UTC

Final: HBW Balingen-Weilstetten 29–29 TSV Hannover-Burgdorf

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HBW Balingen-Weilstetten (Local)

Prediction 37.98%2.63fair odd
EV -5.06%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -3.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.80%38.12%38.05%39.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.422.412.5043.86%41.29%41.49%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Visit)

Prediction 49.99%2.00fair odd
EV -5.03%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -5.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.84%49.93%49.92%53.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.791.801.9057.47%55.72%55.56%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 12.04%8.31fair odd
EV +14.36%
Edge +1.51%
Kelly +1.69%
Growth +0.243%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.75%11.95%12.03%12.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.147.759.5014.29%12.29%12.90%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HBW Balingen-Weilstetten (Local): 37.98%; TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Visit): 49.99%; Draw: 12.04%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.31. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.36%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.22%EV -13.03%E -7.49%K -17.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV +14.36%E +1.51%K +1.69%G +0.243%8.0%2026-10-19 16:55
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.22%EV -13.03%E -7.49%K -17.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV +14.36%E +1.51%K +1.69%G +0.243%8.0%2026-10-19 16:55
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.22%EV -13.03%E -7.49%K -17.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV +14.36%E +1.51%K +1.69%G +0.243%8.0%2026-10-19 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.22%EV -13.03%E -7.49%K -17.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV +14.36%E +1.51%K +1.69%G +0.243%8.0%2026-10-19 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.22%EV -13.03%E -7.49%K -17.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV +14.36%E +1.51%K +1.69%G +0.243%8.0%2026-10-19 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.22%EV -13.03%E -7.49%K -17.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV +14.36%E +1.51%K +1.69%G +0.243%8.0%2026-10-19 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.22%EV -13.03%E -7.49%K -17.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV +14.36%E +1.51%K +1.69%G +0.243%8.0%2026-10-19 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.23%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.97%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV +2.33%E +0.274%K +0.310%G +0.007%9.0%2026-10-19 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.80%EV -5.82%E -2.35%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -13.03%E -7.49%K -17.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV +2.33%E +0.274%K +0.310%G +0.007%9.6%2026-10-19 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.54%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -3.69%E -0.462%K -0.528%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-19 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.96%E -2.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.02%EV -7.03%E -3.78%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.00%EV -6.70%E -0.865%K -0.993%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-19 16:55
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.95%EV -9.03%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.96%EV -6.70%E -0.865%K -0.993%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-19 16:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.07%EV -8.48%E -3.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.86%EV -8.03%E -4.36%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.07%EV -8.51%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-19 16:55
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.89%EV -9.62%E -4.04%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -9.71%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-19 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.89%EV -9.62%E -4.04%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -9.71%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-19 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.89%EV -9.62%E -4.04%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -9.71%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-19 16:55
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -13.41%E -5.88%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.84%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.28%EV -10.92%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-19 14:15
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -13.41%E -5.88%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.84%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.28%EV -10.92%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-19 14:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.12%EV -11.89%E -5.13%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.68%EV -11.03%E -6.19%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.20%EV -12.72%E -1.75%K -2.04%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-19 16:50
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -15.73%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-19 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.66%EV -10.00%E -4.22%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.59%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -15.73%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-19 16:50
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.66%EV -10.00%E -4.22%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.59%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -15.73%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-19 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.30%EV -11.03%E -6.19%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -15.73%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-19 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.90%5.7%2026-10-19 16:55