语言:简体中文
GWD Minden v THW Kiel
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
GWD Minden (主队)
预测 26.45%3.78公平赔率
EV -2.15%
优势 -0.581%
Kelly -0.796%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.70
博彩公司预测分布
24.20%26.70%26.37%28.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.513.523.7030.77%28.47%28.37%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
THW Kiel (客队)
预测 64.13%1.56公平赔率
EV -0.604%
优势 -0.390%
Kelly -1.10%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.55
博彩公司预测分布
61.43%63.79%64.25%65.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.411.421.5573.53%70.77%70.42%64.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 9.43%10.61公平赔率
EV -5.72%
优势 -0.572%
Kelly -0.636%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 10.00
博彩公司预测分布
9.17%9.52%9.38%10.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.509.429.5010.0011.76%10.61%10.53%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：GWD Minden (主队)：26.45%；THW Kiel (客队)：64.13%；平局：9.43%。 对于“THW Kiel (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.56。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.55，期望值为-0.604%，未产生正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -2.15%E -0.581%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.85%EV -12.79%E -9.40%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -15.15%E -1.68%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-03 10:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -2.15%E -0.581%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.85%EV -12.79%E -9.40%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -15.15%E -1.68%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-03 10:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.77%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -10.44%E -1.10%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-03 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.77%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -10.44%E -1.10%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-03 13:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.77%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -10.44%E -1.10%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-03 13:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.77%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -10.44%E -1.10%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-03 13:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.77%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -10.44%E -1.10%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-03 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.77%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -10.44%E -1.10%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-03 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.77%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -10.44%E -1.10%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-03 13:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.77%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -10.44%E -1.10%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-03 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.77%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -10.44%E -1.10%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-03 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.09%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.56%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -10.44%E -1.10%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-03 16:48 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -5.72%E -0.572%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-03 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.61%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -5.72%E -0.572%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-03 16:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.61%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -5.72%E -0.572%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-03 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.61%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -5.72%E -0.572%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-03 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.51%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.13%EV -8.30%E -5.80%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.36%EV -7.61%E -0.776%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-03 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.41%EV -9.58%E -6.80%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.27%EV -7.61%E -0.776%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-03 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.41%EV -9.58%E -6.80%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.27%EV -7.61%E -0.776%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-03 16:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.71%EV -12.79%E -9.40%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.78%EV -15.15%E -1.68%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-06-03 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.43%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.45%EV -19.86%E -2.34%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-03 16:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.43%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.45%EV -19.86%E -2.34%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-03 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.43%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.45%EV -19.86%E -2.34%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-03 16:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.43%EV -0.604%E -0.390%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.72%EV -7.61%E -0.776%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 14:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.63%EV -10.86%E -7.82%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.56%EV -12.79%E -1.38%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-03 16:48 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.03%EV -14.05%E -4.32%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.21%EV -10.86%E -7.82%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.76%EV -15.15%E -1.68%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-06-03 16:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.14% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 9.83% | 15.6% | 2026-06-03 16:50 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44% | 6.6% | 2026-06-03 16:50 |