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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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GWD Minden v ThSV Eisenach

开赛时间： 2026-04-24 17:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

GWD Minden (主队)

预测 40.58%2.46公平赔率
EV -6.66%
优势 -2.90%
Kelly -5.13%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布
39.91%40.52%40.55%42.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.072.212.192.3048.31%45.32%45.66%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

ThSV Eisenach (客队)

预测 47.19%2.12公平赔率
EV -4.69%
优势 -2.32%
Kelly -4.59%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.02

博彩公司预测分布
45.67%47.28%47.23%48.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.861.961.942.0253.76%51.14%51.41%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 12.23%8.17公平赔率
EV +7.66%
优势 +0.870%
Kelly +0.982%
增长率 +0.075%

假设最高赔率为 8.80

博彩公司预测分布
10.43%12.20%12.22%13.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.807.587.558.8014.71%13.20%13.25%11.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：GWD Minden (主队)：40.58%；ThSV Eisenach (客队)：47.19%；平局：12.23%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.17。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.80，对应+7.66%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.77%EV -8.69%E -3.86%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.80%EV -11.29%E -6.01%K -12.83%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.43%EV +7.66%E +0.870%K +0.982%G +0.075%9.0%2026-04-24 01:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -11.53%E -5.29%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -2.13%E -0.266%K -0.304%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:19
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -11.53%E -5.29%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -2.13%E -0.266%K -0.304%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:20
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -11.53%E -5.29%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -2.13%E -0.266%K -0.304%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:19
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -11.53%E -5.29%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -2.13%E -0.266%K -0.304%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -11.53%E -5.29%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -2.13%E -0.266%K -0.304%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -11.53%E -5.29%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -2.13%E -0.266%K -0.304%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:19
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -11.53%E -5.29%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -2.13%E -0.266%K -0.304%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -11.53%E -5.29%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -2.13%E -0.266%K -0.304%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -11.53%E -5.29%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -2.13%E -0.266%K -0.304%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.48%EV -6.66%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.50%EV -7.52%E -3.83%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.01%EV -5.19%E -0.669%K -0.768%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 22:20
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -6.66%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.98%EV -5.19%E -0.669%K -0.768%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.61%EV -8.29%E -3.67%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.31%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.08%EV -7.02%E -0.924%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 22:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.75%EV -8.69%E -3.86%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.02%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -8.24%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 22:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 40.56%EV -9.10%E -4.06%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -9.40%E -4.90%K -10.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -8.24%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 22:18
PMU (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.58%EV -16.00%E -7.73%K -14.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.67%EV -8.93%E -4.63%K -9.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -8.24%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-23 09:19
Betsson🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 40.50%EV -9.10%E -4.06%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -9.40%E -4.90%K -10.22%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.26%EV -9.47%E -1.28%K -1.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 22:19
NordicBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 40.50%EV -9.10%E -4.06%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -9.40%E -4.90%K -10.22%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.26%EV -9.47%E -1.28%K -1.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 22:19
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.01%EV -8.69%E -3.86%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.13%EV -9.88%E -5.17%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -14.36%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 22:18
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.55%EV -10.72%E -4.87%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -9.88%E -5.17%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -14.36%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 22:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.55%EV -10.72%E -4.87%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -9.88%E -5.17%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -14.36%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 22:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.55%EV -10.72%E -4.87%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -9.88%E -5.17%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -14.36%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.75%E -5.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -9.88%E -5.17%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -14.36%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 19:24
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.75%E -5.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -9.88%E -5.17%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -14.36%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 19:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -12.75%E -5.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.93%EV -12.24%E -6.58%K -14.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.47%EV -14.36%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-23 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.91%EV -6.66%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.59%EV -7.04%E -3.58%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.50%EV -16.81%E -2.47%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 22:24
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 40.51%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.11%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.38%15.4%2026-04-23 22:19

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%5.3%2026-04-24 01:55