默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

GWD Minden v HSV Hamburg

开赛时间: 2026-04-05 14:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

GWD Minden (主队)

预测 29.79%3.36公平赔率
EV +1.28%
优势 +0.378%
Kelly +0.535%
增长率 +0.007%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
26.86%29.63%30.07%31.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.213.203.4035.71%31.18%31.25%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

HSV Hamburg (客队)

预测 60.30%1.66公平赔率
EV -6.54%
优势 -4.22%
Kelly -11.89%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.55

博彩公司预测分布
58.90%60.34%60.12%62.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.471.461.5571.43%67.84%68.49%64.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 9.91%10.09公平赔率
EV -0.858%
优势 -0.086%
Kelly -0.095%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 10.00

博彩公司预测分布
9.18%10.03%9.81%11.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.208.989.0010.0012.20%11.14%11.11%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:GWD Minden (主队):29.79%;HSV Hamburg (客队):60.30%;平局:9.91%。 对于“GWD Minden (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.36。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.40,对应+1.28%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV +1.28%E +0.378%K +0.535%G +0.007%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.83%EV -11.97%E -8.20%K -26.02%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -10.77%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV +1.28%E +0.378%K +0.535%G +0.007%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.83%EV -11.97%E -8.20%K -26.02%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -10.77%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV +1.28%E +0.378%K +0.535%G +0.007%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.83%EV -11.97%E -8.20%K -26.02%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -10.77%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 12:55
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV +1.28%E +0.378%K +0.535%G +0.007%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.99%EV -12.57%E -8.67%K -27.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -10.77%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 12:55
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV +1.28%E +0.378%K +0.535%G +0.007%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.99%EV -12.57%E -8.67%K -27.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -10.77%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV +1.28%E +0.378%K +0.535%G +0.007%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.99%EV -12.57%E -8.67%K -27.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -10.77%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 12:55
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV +1.28%E +0.378%K +0.535%G +0.007%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.99%EV -12.57%E -8.67%K -27.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -10.77%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 12:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV +1.28%E +0.378%K +0.535%G +0.007%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.99%EV -12.57%E -8.67%K -27.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -10.77%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV +1.28%E +0.378%K +0.535%G +0.007%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.99%EV -12.57%E -8.67%K -27.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -10.77%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 27.64%EV -1.10%E -0.331%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -9.56%E -6.37%K -19.11%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV -18.70%E -2.28%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 13:40
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -1.69%E -0.513%K -0.737%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.68%EV -9.56%E -6.37%K -19.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -10.77%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 13:49
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -3.18%E -0.980%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.68%EV -15.59%E -11.13%K -38.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.32%EV -15.73%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-03 12:55
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -4.67%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.75%EV -13.17%E -9.15%K -29.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -15.73%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 06:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -4.67%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.75%EV -13.17%E -9.15%K -29.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -15.73%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 06:50
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -4.67%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.75%EV -13.17%E -9.15%K -29.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -15.73%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -4.67%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.75%EV -13.17%E -9.15%K -29.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -15.73%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -4.67%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.75%EV -13.17%E -9.15%K -29.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -15.73%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 13:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.65%E -2.47%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.20%EV -9.56%E -6.37%K -19.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV -0.858%E -0.086%K -0.095%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 13:54
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -9.14%E -3.00%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.28%EV -7.14%E -4.64%K -13.23%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -0.858%E -0.086%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -10.63%E -3.54%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -6.54%E -4.22%K -11.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -5.81%E -0.612%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 13:54
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -10.63%E -3.54%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.75%E -5.06%K -14.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.77%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 13:54
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -12.12%E -4.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.47%EV -7.75%E -5.06%K -14.62%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.68%EV -6.81%E -0.724%K -0.810%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 13:55
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -12.12%E -4.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.47%EV -7.75%E -5.06%K -14.62%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.68%EV -6.81%E -0.724%K -0.810%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 13:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -15.10%E -5.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.00%EV -9.56%E -6.37%K -19.11%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 9.94%EV -11.76%E -1.32%K -1.49%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-05 14:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -16.59%E -5.92%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 58.90%EV -10.16%E -6.82%K -20.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.75%EV -10.77%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-05 13:54
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%5.6%2026-04-05 13:35