语言:简体中文
GWD Minden v Bergischer HC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
GWD Minden (主队)
预测 44.76%2.23公平赔率
EV -6.01%
优势 -2.86%
Kelly -5.46%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.10
博彩公司预测分布
43.86%44.85%44.61%46.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.032.052.1051.28%49.22%48.78%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
Bergischer HC (客队)
预测 42.92%2.33公平赔率
EV -5.14%
优势 -2.32%
Kelly -4.25%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.21
博彩公司预测分布
40.54%43.17%42.62%45.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.932.112.102.2151.81%47.40%47.62%45.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 12.32%8.12公平赔率
EV +10.86%
优势 +1.21%
Kelly +1.36%
增长率 +0.148%
假设最高赔率为 9.00
博彩公司预测分布
9.89%11.98%12.76%13.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.507.587.509.0015.38%13.20%13.33%11.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：GWD Minden (主队)：44.76%；Bergischer HC (客队)：42.92%；平局：12.32%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.12。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.00，对应+10.86%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -8.25%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.14%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV +10.86%E +1.21%K +1.36%G +0.148% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 12:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -10.48%E -5.24%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.86%EV -17.16%E -8.89%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 8.95I 11.17%NM 9.89%EV +10.25%E +1.14%K +1.29%G +0.132% | 13.0% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.08%EV -10.93%E -5.49%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.26%EV -9.00%E -4.25%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.66%EV +5.94%E +0.690%K +0.781%G +0.046% | 9.0% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.55%EV -7.35%E -3.55%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -1.46%E -0.182%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 08:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.55%EV -7.35%E -3.55%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -1.46%E -0.182%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.55%EV -7.35%E -3.55%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -1.46%E -0.182%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.55%EV -7.35%E -3.55%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -1.46%E -0.182%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 08:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.55%EV -7.35%E -3.55%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -1.46%E -0.182%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.55%EV -7.35%E -3.55%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -1.46%E -0.182%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 08:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.55%EV -7.35%E -3.55%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -1.46%E -0.182%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 08:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.55%EV -7.35%E -3.55%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -1.46%E -0.182%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 08:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.55%EV -7.35%E -3.55%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -1.46%E -0.182%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.61%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -8.25%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -7.61%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 06:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.62%EV -12.28%E -6.26%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.72%EV -14.15%E -7.08%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.66%EV -7.61%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-07 08:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.25%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.49%EV -7.28%E -3.37%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.75%EV -11.31%E -1.57%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-08 10:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -8.25%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.77%E -1.97%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 10:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.55%EV -8.69%E -4.26%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -8.14%E -3.80%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -13.77%E -1.97%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 10:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.55%EV -8.69%E -4.26%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -8.14%E -3.80%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -13.77%E -1.97%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 10:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.48%E -5.24%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -13.77%E -1.97%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 10:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.48%E -5.24%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -13.77%E -1.97%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 06:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.48%E -5.24%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -13.77%E -1.97%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 06:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.48%E -5.24%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -13.77%E -1.97%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 06:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.51%EV -12.28%E -6.26%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.56%EV -12.01%E -5.86%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.93%EV -16.85%E -2.50%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-08 10:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.72%E -6.52%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.72%EV -19.93%E -3.07%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-08 06:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.72%E -6.52%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.72%EV -19.93%E -3.07%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-08 06:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.29% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.55% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.15% | 15.2% | 2026-05-08 10:15 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 16:44 |