Language:English
Füchse Berlin v TSV Hannover-Burgdorf
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Füchse Berlin (Local)
Prediction 82.90%1.21fair odd
EV -7.16%
Edge -6.39%
Kelly -59.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.81%83.09%82.98%86.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.101.101.1293.46%90.94%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Visit)
Prediction 10.89%9.19fair odd
EV +19.76%
Edge +1.80%
Kelly +1.98%
Growth +0.390%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.69%10.70%10.87%12.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.258.959.0011.0013.79%11.17%11.11%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 6.22%16.08fair odd
EV +15.02%
Edge +0.812%
Kelly +0.858%
Growth +0.129%
assuming max odds 18.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.17%6.21%6.16%8.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.0014.2514.0018.509.09%7.02%7.14%5.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Füchse Berlin (Local): 82.90%; TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Visit): 10.89%; Draw: 6.22%. For TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.19. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.76%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -7.99%E -7.19%K -72.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.69%EV +19.76%E +1.80%K +1.98%G +0.390% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.17%EV +15.02%E +0.812%K +0.858%G +0.129% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 16:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.07%EV -10.47%E -9.70%K -130.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV +8.87%E +0.887%K +0.985%G +0.087% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -0.524%E -0.033%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.47%EV -11.30%E -10.56%K -161.45%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV +8.87%E +0.887%K +0.985%G +0.087% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +5.69%E +0.335%K +0.356%G +0.020% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.47%EV -11.30%E -10.56%K -161.45%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV +8.87%E +0.887%K +0.985%G +0.087% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +5.69%E +0.335%K +0.356%G +0.020% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.38%EV -10.47%E -9.70%K -130.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV +8.87%E +0.887%K +0.985%G +0.087% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -12.96%E -0.926%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 16:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.60%EV -7.99%E -7.19%K -72.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV +3.43%E +0.361%K +0.403%G +0.014% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.63%EV -12.96%E -0.926%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.60%EV -7.99%E -7.19%K -72.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV +3.43%E +0.361%K +0.403%G +0.014% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.63%EV -12.96%E -0.926%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.60%EV -7.99%E -7.19%K -72.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV +3.43%E +0.361%K +0.403%G +0.014% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.63%EV -12.96%E -0.926%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.60%EV -7.99%E -7.19%K -72.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV +3.43%E +0.361%K +0.403%G +0.014% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.63%EV -12.96%E -0.926%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.60%EV -7.99%E -7.19%K -72.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV +3.43%E +0.361%K +0.403%G +0.014% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.63%EV -12.96%E -0.926%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.60%EV -7.99%E -7.19%K -72.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV +3.43%E +0.361%K +0.403%G +0.014% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.63%EV -12.96%E -0.926%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.60%EV -7.99%E -7.19%K -72.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV +3.43%E +0.361%K +0.403%G +0.014% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.63%EV -12.96%E -0.926%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -7.99%E -7.19%K -72.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -2.02%E -0.224%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -6.74%E -0.449%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-21 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -8.81%E -8.01%K -88.15%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -2.02%E -0.224%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -6.74%E -0.449%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.45%EV -8.81%E -8.01%K -88.15%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.43%EV -4.20%E -0.477%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -6.74%E -0.449%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.88%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -7.46%E -0.878%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.34%EV -22.28%E -1.78%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 16:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.88%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -7.46%E -0.878%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.34%EV -22.28%E -1.78%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 16:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.68%EV -8.81%E -8.01%K -88.15%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.83%EV -8.55%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV -12.96%E -0.926%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-21 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.68%EV -8.81%E -8.01%K -88.15%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.83%EV -8.55%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV -12.96%E -0.926%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-21 16:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 81.96%EV -9.64%E -8.85%K -107.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -12.91%E -1.61%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -19.18%E -1.48%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-21 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 81.96%EV -9.64%E -8.85%K -107.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -12.91%E -1.61%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -19.18%E -1.48%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-21 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 81.96%EV -9.64%E -8.85%K -107.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -12.91%E -1.61%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -19.18%E -1.48%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-21 16:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 80.95%EV -9.64%E -8.85%K -107.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.03%EV -12.91%E -1.61%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.02%EV -31.61%E -2.87%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.64%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 11.88%EV -16.17%E -2.10%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.42%EV -11.40%E -0.800%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 16:57 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.38%EV -9.64%E -8.85%K -107.15%G +0.000% | 7.65I 13.07%NM 11.74%EV -16.72%E -2.19%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 15.25I 6.56%NM 5.89%EV -5.19%E -0.340%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-21 16:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 80.81%EV -9.64%E -8.85%K -107.15%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.15%EV -21.07%E -2.91%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.05%EV -22.28%E -1.78%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 80.39% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.06% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 7.56% | 15.2% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.75% | 7.07I 14.14%NM 13.25% | 6.7% | 2026-05-21 16:59 |