The School of Odds
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Füchse Berlin v SG Flensburg-Handewitt

Kickoff: 2026-06-07 13:00 UTC

Final: Füchse Berlin 43–38 SG Flensburg-Handewitt

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Füchse Berlin (Local)

Prediction 68.73%1.46fair odd
EV -5.84%
Edge -4.27%
Kelly -15.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.73%68.81%68.25%71.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.331.341.3777.52%75.06%74.63%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SG Flensburg-Handewitt (Visit)

Prediction 22.55%4.44fair odd
EV +1.46%
Edge +0.324%
Kelly +0.416%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.53%22.40%22.95%23.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.013.954.5027.03%24.93%25.32%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 8.73%11.46fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -0.364%
Kelly -0.401%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.14%8.79%8.80%9.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.009.999.5011.0011.11%10.01%10.53%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Füchse Berlin (Local): 68.73%; SG Flensburg-Handewitt (Visit): 22.55%; Draw: 8.73%. For SG Flensburg-Handewitt (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.44. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.07%EV -10.65%E -8.20%K -35.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV +1.46%E +0.324%K +0.416%G +0.006%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -4.01%E -0.364%K -0.401%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-07 11:19
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -11.34%E -8.79%K -39.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -2.38%E -0.549%K -0.713%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -17.10%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-06 21:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -11.34%E -8.79%K -39.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -2.38%E -0.549%K -0.713%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -17.10%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-06 21:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -11.34%E -8.79%K -39.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -2.38%E -0.549%K -0.713%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -17.10%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-06 21:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.47%EV -9.28%E -7.03%K -29.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -4.18%E -0.983%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 8.95%EV -10.55%E -1.03%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-07 11:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -9.28%E -7.03%K -29.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.31%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -4.01%E -0.364%K -0.401%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 12:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.48%EV -7.22%E -5.35%K -20.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.82%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -4.01%E -0.364%K -0.401%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-07 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.48%EV -7.22%E -5.35%K -20.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.82%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -4.01%E -0.364%K -0.401%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-07 12:39
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.73%EV -10.65%E -8.20%K -35.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -9.82%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -12.73%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-07 12:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.07%EV -5.84%E -4.27%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.94%E -2.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -17.10%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-06 21:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.07%EV -5.84%E -4.27%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.94%E -2.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -17.10%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-06 21:29
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.07%EV -5.84%E -4.27%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.94%E -2.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -17.10%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-06 21:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.44%EV -7.91%E -5.90%K -23.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.94%E -2.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -4.01%E -0.364%K -0.401%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-07 12:39
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.23%EV -6.53%E -4.80%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -10.94%E -2.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.62%EV -17.10%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-06 21:30
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.23%EV -6.53%E -4.80%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -10.94%E -2.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.62%EV -17.10%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-06 21:30
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.23%EV -6.53%E -4.80%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -10.94%E -2.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.62%EV -17.10%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-06 21:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.23%EV -6.53%E -4.80%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -10.94%E -2.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.62%EV -17.10%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-06 21:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.23%EV -6.53%E -4.80%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -10.94%E -2.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.62%EV -17.10%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-06 21:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.23%EV -6.53%E -4.80%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -10.94%E -2.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.62%EV -17.10%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-06 21:30
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.88%EV -7.91%E -5.90%K -23.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -10.94%E -2.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -12.73%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-07 12:39
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.88%EV -7.91%E -5.90%K -23.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -10.94%E -2.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -12.73%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-07 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.89%EV -10.65%E -8.20%K -35.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -12.07%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.14%EV -4.01%E -0.364%K -0.401%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-07 06:29
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.89%EV -10.65%E -8.20%K -35.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -12.07%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.14%EV -4.01%E -0.364%K -0.401%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-07 06:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 66.73%EV -9.28%E -7.03%K -29.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -15.45%E -4.12%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.79%EV -21.46%E -2.38%K -2.68%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-06 21:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 67.42%EV -9.97%E -7.61%K -32.15%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 23.74%EV -16.13%E -4.34%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.83%EV -12.73%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-07 12:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 67.03%EV -9.97%E -7.61%K -32.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -16.58%E -4.48%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -17.10%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-07 12:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.30I 76.92%NM 66.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.13%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.05%15.1%2026-06-07 12:40

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.90%6.5%2026-06-07 06:10