Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Füchse Berlin v Rhein-Neckar Löwen

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Füchse Berlin (Local)

Prediction 80.33%1.24fair odd
EV -6.01%
Edge -5.14%
Kelly -35.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.91%80.19%80.34%83.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.141.141.1790.91%87.63%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Visit)

Prediction 12.66%7.90fair odd
EV +7.62%
Edge +0.897%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.077%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.76%12.73%12.61%14.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.057.267.008.5016.53%13.77%14.29%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 7.01%14.27fair odd
EV +5.10%
Edge +0.340%
Kelly +0.364%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.10%7.07%7.06%8.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.0013.0013.0015.009.09%7.69%7.69%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Füchse Berlin (Local): 80.33%; Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Visit): 12.66%; Draw: 7.01%. For Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.90. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.62%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -11.63%E -10.58%K -116.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV +7.62%E +0.897%K +1.02%G +0.077%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV +5.10%E +0.340%K +0.364%G +0.019%9.3%2026-02-26 18:35
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -11.63%E -10.58%K -116.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV +7.62%E +0.897%K +1.02%G +0.077%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV +5.10%E +0.340%K +0.364%G +0.019%9.3%2026-02-26 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.57%EV -7.62%E -6.62%K -50.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV +1.29%E +0.161%K +0.184%G +0.002%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -1.91%E -0.136%K -0.147%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 16:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.97%EV -10.03%E -8.95%K -83.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV +1.29%E +0.161%K +0.184%G +0.002%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -1.91%E -0.136%K -0.147%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 05:14
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -10.83%E -9.76%K -98.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV +1.29%E +0.161%K +0.184%G +0.002%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 16:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.40%EV -8.42%E -7.39%K -60.15%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.97%EV -1.87%E -0.242%K -0.278%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.63%EV -1.91%E -0.136%K -0.147%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 16:09
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.99%EV -8.42%E -7.39%K -60.15%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -1.87%E -0.242%K -0.278%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.10%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 05:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.53%EV -8.42%E -7.39%K -60.15%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.41%EV -6.31%E -0.852%K -0.985%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 16:09
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.39%EV -9.22%E -8.16%K -70.96%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.62%EV -8.84%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 16:10
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.39%EV -9.22%E -8.16%K -70.96%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.62%EV -8.84%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 16:09
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.01%E -5.14%K -35.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.37%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 08:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.01%E -5.14%K -35.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.37%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 08:39
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.01%E -5.14%K -35.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.37%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 08:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.01%E -5.14%K -35.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.37%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 08:39
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.01%E -5.14%K -35.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.37%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 08:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.01%E -5.14%K -35.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.37%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 08:39
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.01%E -5.14%K -35.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.37%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 08:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.01%E -5.14%K -35.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.37%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 08:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.01%E -5.14%K -35.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.37%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 08:39
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.25%EV -10.03%E -8.95%K -83.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -11.37%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.07%EV -22.93%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-01 05:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.25%EV -10.03%E -8.95%K -83.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -11.37%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.07%EV -22.93%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-01 05:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.25%EV -10.03%E -8.95%K -83.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -11.37%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.07%EV -22.93%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-01 05:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.13%EV -6.81%E -5.87%K -42.59%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 13.80%EV -15.80%E -2.38%K -2.80%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 16:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 78.91%EV -10.83%E -9.76%K -98.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.48%EV -17.70%E -2.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.62%EV -19.42%E -1.69%K -1.85%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-01 16:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 79.01%EV -10.83%E -9.76%K -98.47%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 14.50%EV -23.40%E -3.87%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.50%EV -5.41%E -0.401%K -0.433%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-01 16:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 78.13%6.20I 16.13%NM 13.99%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.88%15.3%2026-03-01 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 31.68%1.09I 91.74%NM 34.00%1.08I 92.59%NM 34.32%169.8%2026-03-01 05:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 31.68%1.09I 91.74%NM 34.00%1.08I 92.59%NM 34.32%169.8%2026-03-01 05:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 31.68%1.09I 91.74%NM 34.00%1.08I 92.59%NM 34.32%169.8%2026-03-01 05:15

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%7.4%2026-03-01 16:05