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Füchse Berlin v MT Melsungen

2026-08-27 18:00 UTC — Handball-Bundesliga

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Füchse Berlin (Local)

Prediction 81.22%1.23fair odd
EV -8.22%
Edge -7.28%
Kelly -63.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.33%81.33%81.18%82.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.111.111.1391.74%90.19%90.09%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

MT Melsungen (Visit)

Prediction 11.65%8.59fair odd
EV -0.993%
Edge -0.117%
Kelly -0.132%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.90%11.68%11.76%12.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.757.747.908.5014.81%12.91%12.66%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 7.13%14.02fair odd
EV +7.00%
Edge +0.467%
Kelly +0.500%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.12%6.98%7.06%7.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.0012.9413.0015.009.09%7.73%7.69%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Füchse Berlin (Local): 81.22%; MT Melsungen (Visit): 11.65%; Draw: 7.13%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.02. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 15.00, producing a positive expected value of +7.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.69%EV -9.85%E -8.87%K -89.52%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV -4.49%E -0.547%K -0.623%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV +7.00%E +0.467%K +0.500%G +0.035%9.0%2026-08-21 01:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.71%EV -9.04%E -8.07%K -75.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -0.993%E -0.117%K -0.132%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.39%EV +3.44%E +0.237%K +0.254%G +0.009%7.9%2026-08-21 00:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.18%EV -8.22%E -7.28%K -63.25%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -9.15%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -7.27%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-20 23:17
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -9.85%E -8.87%K -89.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -6.82%E -0.852%K -0.974%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -7.27%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 00:14
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -9.85%E -8.87%K -89.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -6.82%E -0.852%K -0.974%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -7.27%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 00:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.75%EV -10.66%E -9.69%K -106.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -12.64%E -1.69%K -1.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.40%EV -14.40%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-21 00:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.36%EV -10.66%E -9.69%K -106.59%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.28%EV -16.14%E -2.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.37%EV -14.40%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-21 00:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 79.33%EV -11.47%E -10.52%K -127.46%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.81%EV -21.38%E -3.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.86%EV -21.53%E -1.96%K -2.15%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-21 00:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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