The School of Odds
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Füchse Berlin v HSG Wetzlar

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 15:30 UTC

Final: Füchse Berlin 36–30 HSG Wetzlar

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Füchse Berlin (Local)

Prediction 87.84%1.14fair odd
EV -6.01%
Edge -5.62%
Kelly -85.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.02%87.61%88.08%90.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.051.051.0798.04%95.55%95.24%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HSG Wetzlar (Visit)

Prediction 7.50%13.32fair odd
EV +20.08%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.269%

assuming max odds 16.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.74%7.53%7.42%9.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0012.6513.0016.0010.00%7.90%7.69%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 4.66%21.47fair odd
EV +21.07%
Edge +0.810%
Kelly +0.843%
Growth +0.178%

assuming max odds 26.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.47%4.86%4.50%6.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
13.0018.5719.0026.007.69%5.39%5.26%3.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Füchse Berlin (Local): 87.84%; HSG Wetzlar (Visit): 7.50%; Draw: 4.66%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 21.47. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 26.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.07%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.08%EV -10.40%E -10.20%K -520.23%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV +20.08%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.269%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV +2.45%E +0.111%K +0.116%G +0.003%8.8%2026-10-25 13:30
Paddy Power🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.72%EV -8.65%E -8.32%K -216.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV +12.57%E +0.838%K +0.898%G +0.113%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +7.10%E +0.309%K +0.323%G +0.023%7.2%2026-10-25 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.23%EV -7.77%E -7.40%K -155.39%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +5.07%E +0.362%K +0.390%G +0.020%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +7.10%E +0.309%K +0.323%G +0.023%6.7%2026-10-25 08:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.16%EV -8.65%E -8.32%K -216.19%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.62%EV +5.07%E +0.362%K +0.390%G +0.020%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.21%EV +2.45%E +0.111%K +0.116%G +0.003%7.8%2026-10-25 15:05
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.03%EV -7.77%E -7.40%K -155.39%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -2.44%E -0.188%K -0.203%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.86%EV -11.52%E -0.607%K -0.640%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-25 10:05
Casumo🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.03%EV -7.77%E -7.40%K -155.39%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -2.44%E -0.188%K -0.203%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.86%EV -11.52%E -0.607%K -0.640%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-25 10:05
Grosvenor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.03%EV -7.77%E -7.40%K -155.39%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -2.44%E -0.188%K -0.203%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.86%EV -11.52%E -0.607%K -0.640%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-25 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.03%EV -7.77%E -7.40%K -155.39%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -2.44%E -0.188%K -0.203%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.86%EV -11.52%E -0.607%K -0.640%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-25 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.03%EV -7.77%E -7.40%K -155.39%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -2.44%E -0.188%K -0.203%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.86%EV -11.52%E -0.607%K -0.640%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-25 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.03%EV -7.77%E -7.40%K -155.39%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -2.44%E -0.188%K -0.203%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.86%EV -11.52%E -0.607%K -0.640%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-25 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.03%EV -7.77%E -7.40%K -155.39%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -2.44%E -0.188%K -0.203%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.86%EV -11.52%E -0.607%K -0.640%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-25 10:05
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.53%EV -8.65%E -8.32%K -216.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -2.44%E -0.188%K -0.203%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.38%EV -2.21%E -0.105%K -0.111%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-25 15:05
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.53%EV -8.65%E -8.32%K -216.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -2.44%E -0.188%K -0.203%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.38%EV -2.21%E -0.105%K -0.111%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-25 15:05
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.79%EV -6.89%E -6.50%K -114.85%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -2.44%E -0.188%K -0.203%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -30.15%E -2.01%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 15:23
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.79%EV -6.89%E -6.50%K -114.85%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -2.44%E -0.188%K -0.203%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -30.15%E -2.01%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 15:23
Codere (IT)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.34%EV -8.65%E -8.32%K -216.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.44%E -0.188%K -0.203%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.59%EV -6.87%E -0.343%K -0.361%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 15:05
Coolbet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.80%EV -6.01%E -5.62%K -85.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -9.94%E -0.829%K -0.904%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -20.84%E -1.23%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-25 15:26
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 85.80%EV -7.77%E -7.40%K -155.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -17.45%E -1.59%K -1.74%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -30.15%E -2.01%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-25 10:05
888sport🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 85.02%EV -7.77%E -7.40%K -155.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -17.45%E -1.59%K -1.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -39.46%E -3.04%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-25 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 85.02%EV -7.77%E -7.40%K -155.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -17.45%E -1.59%K -1.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -39.46%E -3.04%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-25 15:26
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 85.02%EV -7.77%E -7.40%K -155.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -17.45%E -1.59%K -1.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -39.46%E -3.04%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-25 15:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 87.52%EV -9.53%E -9.25%K -317.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -24.95%E -2.50%K -2.77%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.47%EV +21.07%E +0.810%K +0.843%G +0.178%10.9%2026-10-25 15:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 85.35%EV -9.53%E -9.25%K -317.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -24.95%E -2.50%K -2.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.86%EV -30.15%E -2.01%K -2.15%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-25 09:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.03I 97.09%NM 84.35%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.44%14.01I 7.14%NM 6.20%15.1%2026-10-25 10:11

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.33%9.72I 10.29%NM 9.67%6.4%2026-10-25 14:54