The School of Odds
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Frisch Auf Göppingen v TVB Stuttgart

Kickoff: 2026-06-03 17:00 UTC

Final: Frisch Auf Göppingen 32–33 TVB Stuttgart

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Frisch Auf Göppingen (Local)

Prediction 58.76%1.70fair odd
EV -5.99%
Edge -3.74%
Kelly -9.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.55%58.87%58.73%60.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.551.571.6067.57%64.32%63.69%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TVB Stuttgart (Visit)

Prediction 30.87%3.24fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.378%
Kelly -0.550%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.07%30.69%31.01%31.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.972.953.2036.36%33.66%33.90%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 10.37%9.64fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.154%
Kelly -0.172%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.70%10.44%10.27%11.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.808.488.509.5012.82%11.80%11.76%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Frisch Auf Göppingen (Local): 58.76%; TVB Stuttgart (Visit): 30.87%; Draw: 10.37%. For TVB Stuttgart (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -1.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -5.99%E -3.74%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -8.93%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -11.84%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-03 09:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -5.99%E -3.74%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -8.93%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -11.84%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-03 09:29
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -5.99%E -3.74%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -8.93%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -11.84%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-03 09:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -5.99%E -3.74%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -8.93%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -11.84%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-03 09:30
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -5.99%E -3.74%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -8.93%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -11.84%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-03 09:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -5.99%E -3.74%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -8.93%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -11.84%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-03 09:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -5.99%E -3.74%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -8.93%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -11.84%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-03 09:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -5.99%E -3.74%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -8.93%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -11.84%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-03 09:29
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -5.99%E -3.74%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -8.93%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -11.84%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-03 09:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.76%EV -7.17%E -4.54%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.93%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -1.46%E -0.154%K -0.172%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-03 09:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.44%EV -7.17%E -4.54%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -10.47%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -1.46%E -0.154%K -0.172%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-03 09:49
Betsson🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.69%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -8.93%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.61%EV -19.10%E -2.45%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-03 12:30
NordicBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.69%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -8.93%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.61%EV -19.10%E -2.45%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-03 12:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.18%EV -9.24%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.07%EV -5.61%E -0.617%K -0.693%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-02 05:30
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -10.10%E -6.60%K -19.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -1.21%E -0.378%K -0.550%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -11.84%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-03 13:59
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.17%EV -10.10%E -6.60%K -19.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -11.84%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-03 04:28
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.55%EV -10.10%E -6.60%K -19.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.45%EV -13.56%E -4.84%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -17.02%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-03 09:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.59%EV -10.69%E -7.03%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -1.46%E -0.154%K -0.172%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-03 12:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.16%EV -10.69%E -7.03%K -20.56%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 31.68%EV -13.87%E -4.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.16%EV -9.76%E -1.12%K -1.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-03 16:48
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.75%EV -10.69%E -7.03%K -20.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.92%EV -15.10%E -5.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.33%EV -11.84%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-03 09:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -11.87%E -7.91%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.02%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-01 21:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -11.87%E -7.91%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.02%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-01 21:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -11.87%E -7.91%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.02%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-01 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.70%EV -13.04%E -8.81%K -27.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -1.21%E -0.378%K -0.550%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -17.02%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-02 09:19
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.70%EV -13.04%E -8.81%K -27.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -1.21%E -0.378%K -0.550%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -17.02%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-02 09:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 57.80%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.88%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.32%15.3%2026-06-03 09:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%5.9%2026-06-03 12:00